Coupe de France, round 6 · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)
St Denis US — Versailles
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
1:3Came true
In short
Final score 1:3: the model's most likely outcome, Versailles to win (52%), came true.
Versailles are clear favourites: 52% against 23% for the opponent, draw 25%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Versailles are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
- Versailles are 93 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: St Denis US — Versailles What is xG? | 1.1–1.7 | |
| St Denis US not to lose | 48% | |
| Versailles not to lose | 77% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap St Denis US
- St Denis US goals
- Versailles goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 30.11away · L'Union Saint Jean1:2
- 16.11away · Canet Roussillon3:1
- 27.10away · Tremblay F.C.1:1
- 29.10FC Fleury 911:1
- 16.10Red Star1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Next match
- VersaillesRodez14 November · Coupe de France · preliminary2425512The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
Coupe de France on the same day
- 5524211The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:0.2.9
- 2225532The most likely outcome came true: 20:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:2.2.8
- 3827351The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 2:1.2.7
- 3627372The most likely outcome came true: 20:3Final score 0:3. Model's score: 0:2.2.7
- 3327402The most likely outcome did not happen: 22:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:2.2.7
- 3927341The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.7
- 4227311The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:4Final score 0:4. Model's score: 2:1.2.8
- 4227321The most likely outcome did not happen: 13:4Final score 3:4. Model's score: 2:0.2.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →