PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

Accounts and Premium are not available in your country; every forecast is open. New forecasts every day — in our Telegram channel.

UEFA Nations League, round 6, League B, group 2 · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3) · Košická Futbalová Aréna

Ukraine — Georgia

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 17 November

Ukraine41%
Draw29%
Georgia30%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Ukraine are slightly stronger: 41% against 30%, draw 29%.

2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.4).

Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 49%.

Why

  • National-team Elo: Ukraine 1724, Georgia 1628 — Ukraine rated higher.

Facts

  • League table: Ukraine — No. 3, 4 pts; Georgia — No. 4, 2 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
  • Last 3 meetings: Ukraine 1 win, Georgia 0, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Ukraine — Georgia What is xG?1.3–1.1
Ukraine not to lose70%
Georgia not to lose59%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes49%
Both teams to score: no51%
Total over 2.543%
Total under 2.557%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Ukraine
  • Ukraine goals
  • Georgia goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatUkraineGeorgia
Goals scored per match1.30.4
Goals conceded per match1.81.8
xG per match1.070.73
Opponents’ xG1.631.68
Shots11.09.6
On target3.73.1
Corners3.94.6
Cards2.91.4
Possession, %5151

Averages per match: Ukraine — the last 9, Georgia — the last 9 matches in all competitions.

Form

Ukraine

  • 05.10Hungary1:2
  • 02.10Northern Ireland0:3
  • 28.09away · Georgia0:0
  • 25.09away · Hungary1:0
  • 31.05away · Poland2:0

Georgia

  • 05.10away · Northern Ireland0:0
  • 02.10away · Hungary0:1
  • 28.09Ukraine0:0
  • 25.09Northern Ireland0:1
  • 05.06Bahrain2:0

Head to head

  • 28.09.2026Georgia — Ukraine0:0
  • 16.11.2024Georgia — Ukraine1:1
  • 11.10.2024Ukraine — Georgia1:0

Full record: 10 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
1, Promotion to the league aboveNorthern Ireland42204–0+48
2, Promotion play-offsHungary42113–2+17
3Ukraine41122–5-34
4, Relegation play-offGeorgia40220–2-22

Season 2026/27

Full table

UEFA Nations League on the same day

  • DenmarkNorwaypreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
  • WalesPortugalpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.1
  • HungaryNorthern Irelandpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.2
  • IsraelAustriapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
  • IrelandKosovopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
  • Bosnia and HerzegovinaRomaniapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
  • PolandSwedenpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →