Coupe de France, round 6 · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)
USM Senlis — St Amand FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 1:1: the model's most likely outcome, USM Senlis to win (38%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 38% fails in about 62 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: USM Senlis 38%, St Amand FC 36%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- USM Senlis are 59 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: USM Senlis — St Amand FC What is xG? | 1.4–1.4 | |
| USM Senlis not to lose | 64% | |
| St Amand FC not to lose | 62% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap USM Senlis
- USM Senlis goals
- St Amand FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Next match
- USM SenlisSt-Pryve St-Hilaire14 November · Coupe de France · preliminary2224542The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
Coupe de France on the same day
- 5524211The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:0.2.9
- 2225532The most likely outcome came true: 20:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:2.2.8
- 3827351The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 2:1.2.7
- 3627372The most likely outcome came true: 20:3Final score 0:3. Model's score: 0:2.2.7
- 3327402The most likely outcome did not happen: 22:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:2.2.7
- 3927341The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.7
- 4227311The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:4Final score 0:4. Model's score: 2:1.2.8
- 4227321The most likely outcome did not happen: 13:4Final score 3:4. Model's score: 2:0.2.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →