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Coupe de France, round 6 · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)

Yerres-Crosne — Drancy

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Model prediction and result

4:3Missed
Yerres-Crosne28%
Draw26%
Drancy46%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 4:3: the model's most likely outcome, Drancy to win (46%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 46% fails in about 54 matches out of 100 on average.

Drancy are slightly stronger: 46% against 28%, draw 26%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Drancy are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Yerres-Crosne — Drancy What is xG?1.2–1.6
Yerres-Crosne not to lose54%
Drancy not to lose72%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Drancy goals
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Form

Yerres-Crosne

No past matches in the data yet.

Drancy

  • 16.11Beauvais0:0
  • 26.10away · Bobigny Bagnolet Gagny1:0
  • 21.12Nantes0:4
  • 01.12away · US Noyelles3:0
  • 16.11US Pays de Cassel2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →