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Portuguese Primeira Liga

Portugal · season 2026/27 · 18 teams · 71 matches played

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Primeira Liga predictions

Monday, 19 October

  • BragaGil Vicente
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4

Friday, 23 Octoberpreliminary estimates

Saturday, 24 Octoberpreliminary estimates

Sunday, 25 Octoberpreliminary estimates

Monday, 26 Octoberpreliminary estimates

Friday, 30 Octoberpreliminary estimates

Saturday, 31 Octoberpreliminary estimates

Sunday, 1 Novemberpreliminary estimates

Monday, 2 Novemberpreliminary estimates

Results · last 30 days; the model's pick came true in 8 of 9, it expected 51%

Monday, 12 October

  • FamalicãoAlverca
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:4. Model's score: 2:0.2.4

Sunday, 11 October

  • Rio AveNacional
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 3:2. Model's score: 1:0.2.6
  • BenficaVitória de Guimarães
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 3:1.3.1
  • AroucaEstrela da Amadora
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.8

Saturday, 10 October

  • MarítimoFC Porto
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 1:2, exactly right.2.6
  • Académico ViseuEstoril
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:1, exactly right.3.1
  • Casa Pia ACSanta Clara
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:1, exactly right.2.1

Friday, 9 October

  • MoreirenseGil Vicente
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:2.2.2
  • BragaSporting CP
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:3. Model's score: 0:2.2.7

Sunday, 20 September

  • Estrela da AmadoraAcadémico Viseu
    Final score 0:2. Model's score: —.—
  • Vitória de GuimarãesMoreirense
    Final score 1:1. Model's score: —.—
  • EstorilCasa Pia AC
    Final score 1:2. Model's score: —.—
  • Santa ClaraBraga
    Final score 0:0. Model's score: —.—
  • FC PortoBenfica
    Final score 3:1. Model's score: —.—

Saturday, 19 September

  • Gil VicenteMarítimo
    Final score 1:1. Model's score: —.—
  • NacionalFamalicão
    Final score 0:4. Model's score: —.—
  • AlvercaRio Ave
    Final score 1:0. Model's score: —.—
  • Sporting CPArouca
    Final score 2:2. Model's score: —.—
Earlier results: 3 more matches

Monday, 14 September

  • Rio AveEstrela da Amadora
    Final score 3:3. Model's score: —.—
  • MoreirenseMarítimo
    Final score 3:1. Model's score: —.—
  • BragaEstoril
    Final score 1:0. Model's score: —.—

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−PtsForm
1, Champions LeagueFC Porto880020–4+1624
2, Champions LeagueBenfica861124–7+1719
3, Champions League qualifyingSporting CP853020–9+1118
4, Europa League or Conference LeagueSanta Clara853012–4+818
5, Europa League or Conference LeagueArouca842211–7+414
6Académico Viseu842211–10+114
7Alverca832313–12+111
8Gil Vicente73226–5+111
9Braga73228–8011
10Estrela da Amadora824214–15-110
11Marítimo82249–14-58
12Moreirense82248–15-78
13Famalicão814310–11-17
14Rio Ave82158–17-97
15Vitória de Guimarães81255–10-55
16, Relegation play-offNacional81169–18-94
17, RelegationCasa Pia AC81163–17-144
18, RelegationEstoril80264–12-82
  • Champions League
  • Champions League qualifying
  • Europa League or Conference League
  • Relegation play-off
  • Relegation

Season 2026/27 · zones by the regulations, the final allocation may depend on cup winners

About the competition

  • 2.8goals per match
  • 39%home wins
  • 25%draws
  • 35%away wins
  • 55%over 2.5 goals
  • 51%both teams scored
55%

How often the model’s most likely outcome came true over 989 Primeira Liga matches since 11 August 2023. On average the model gave the favourite 55%, so it does not overstate its confidence. How we check

Season leaders

  • Best attackBenfica24 goals in 8 matches
  • Best defenceFC Porto4 conceded in 8 matches
  • Best formFC Porto15 points in the last 5

Season 2026/27, regular-season matches played. 2.8 goals per match on average.