Nigeria NPFL, round 14 · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Abia Warriors — Enyimba
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Abia Warriors are clear favourites: 55% against 18% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 41%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Abia Warriors are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- Abia Warriors are 62 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Abia Warriors — No. 18, 10 pts; Enyimba — No. 17, 11 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Abia Warriors: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Abia Warriors 0 wins, Enyimba 3, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Abia Warriors — Enyimba What is xG? | 1.5–0.7 | |
| Abia Warriors not to lose | 82% | |
| Enyimba not to lose | 45% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 41% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 59% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 37% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 63% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Abia Warriors
- Abia Warriors goals
- Enyimba goals
- Corners and cards
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Team news
Form
- 01.11away · Shooting Stars1:4
- 25.10Niger Tornadoes0:1
- 17.10away · Kwara United1:1
- 11.10Rivers United FC0:0
- 04.10away · Enugu Rangers1:3
- 01.11Kun Khalifat1:0
- 25.10away · Nasarawa United0:1
- 18.10Warri Wolves FC0:0
- 09.10away · Katsina United2:4
- 04.10Plateau United2:0
Head to head
- 29.03.2026Enyimba — Abia Warriors2:1
- 09.11.2025Abia Warriors — Enyimba0:0
- 06.04.2025Enyimba — Abia Warriors2:1
- 17.11.2024Abia Warriors — Enyimba1:1
- 26.05.2024Abia Warriors — Enyimba0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Kun Khalifat | 11 | 3 | -7 | 12 |
| 17 | Enyimba | 11 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 18 | Abia Warriors | 11 | 2 | -7 | 10 |
| 19 | Ranchers Bees | 10 | 2 | -3 | 9 |
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- BarauInter Lagospreliminary811451The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- Bendel InsuranceDoma Unitedpreliminary771581The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- Kun KhalifatKatsina Unitedpreliminary5825171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- Nasarawa UnitedWarri Wolves FCpreliminary5927141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:01.9
- Ranchers BeesPlateau Unitedpreliminary5127221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- Enugu RangersShooting Starspreliminary761681The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.6
- Rivers United FCNiger Tornadoespreliminary731981The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.0
- Sporting LagosKwara Unitedpreliminary6124151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →