Nigeria NPFL, round 14 · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Bendel Insurance — Doma United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Bendel Insurance are clear favourites: 77% against 8% for the opponent, draw 15%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.1.
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 39%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Bendel Insurance are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
- Bendel Insurance are 210 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Bendel Insurance — No. 3, 18 pts; Doma United — No. 12, 15 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Last 2 meetings: Bendel Insurance 1 win, Doma United 0, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bendel Insurance — Doma United What is xG? | 2.3–0.6 | |
| Bendel Insurance not to lose | 92% | |
| Doma United not to lose | 23% | |
| No draw | 85% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 39% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 61% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Bendel Insurance
- Bendel Insurance goals
- Doma United goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
Form
- 01.11away · Kwara United2:1
- 25.10Rivers United FC2:1
- 11.10away · Sporting Lagos1:2
- 04.10Barau4:1
- 27.09away · Abia Warriors0:3
- 31.10Ikorodu City2:2
- 17.10Kun Khalifat1:1
- 11.10away · Nasarawa United0:2
- 04.10Warri Wolves FC1:0
- 27.09away · Katsina United1:2
Head to head
- 17.03.2024Bendel Insurance — Doma United4:0
- 08.11.2023Doma United — Bendel Insurance0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Enugu Rangers | 9 | 5 | +5 | 18 |
| 3 | Bendel Insurance | 10 | 6 | +3 | 18 |
| 4 | Kano Pillars | 11 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 11 | Sporting Lagos | 10 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 12 | Doma United | 10 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 13 | Ikorodu City | 11 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- Abia WarriorsEnyimbapreliminary5527181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.2
- BarauInter Lagospreliminary811451The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- Kun KhalifatKatsina Unitedpreliminary5825171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- Nasarawa UnitedWarri Wolves FCpreliminary5927141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:01.9
- Ranchers BeesPlateau Unitedpreliminary5127221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- Enugu RangersShooting Starspreliminary761681The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.6
- Rivers United FCNiger Tornadoespreliminary731981The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.0
- Sporting LagosKwara Unitedpreliminary6124151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 77% will not happen in roughly 23 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →