Nigeria NPFL, round 14 · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Enugu Rangers — Shooting Stars
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Enugu Rangers are clear favourites: 76% against 8% for the opponent, draw 16%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.6 in total, against a competition average of 2.1.
Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 36%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Enugu Rangers are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.
- Enugu Rangers are 204 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Enugu Rangers — No. 2, 18 pts; Shooting Stars — No. 10, 15 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Enugu Rangers: unbeaten in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: Enugu Rangers 1 win, Shooting Stars 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Enugu Rangers — Shooting Stars What is xG? | 2.0–0.5 | |
| Enugu Rangers not to lose | 92% | |
| Shooting Stars not to lose | 24% | |
| No draw | 84% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 36% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 64% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 45% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 55% |
91 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Enugu Rangers
- Enugu Rangers goals
- Shooting Stars goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Team news
Form
- 01.11away · Rivers United FC1:1
- 11.10away · Barau2:2
- 04.10Abia Warriors3:1
- 30.09away · Warri Wolves FC1:0
- 27.09away · Ikorodu City0:2
- 01.11Abia Warriors4:1
- 25.10away · Ikorodu City2:2
- 16.10Ranchers Bees3:1
- 11.10away · Kun Khalifat0:2
- 07.10Kano Pillars0:0
Head to head
- 29.03.2026Shooting Stars — Enugu Rangers3:1
- 09.11.2025Enugu Rangers — Shooting Stars1:0
- 25.05.2025Shooting Stars — Enugu Rangers5:1
- 22.12.2024Enugu Rangers — Shooting Stars0:1
- 12.06.2024Shooting Stars — Enugu Rangers1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rivers United FC | 11 | 4 | +10 | 18 |
| 2 | Enugu Rangers | 9 | 5 | +5 | 18 |
| 3 | Bendel Insurance | 10 | 6 | +3 | 18 |
| 9 | Katsina United | 11 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 | Shooting Stars | 11 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 11 | Sporting Lagos | 10 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- Abia WarriorsEnyimbapreliminary5527181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.2
- BarauInter Lagospreliminary811451The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- Bendel InsuranceDoma Unitedpreliminary771581The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- Kun KhalifatKatsina Unitedpreliminary5825171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- Nasarawa UnitedWarri Wolves FCpreliminary5927141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:01.9
- Ranchers BeesPlateau Unitedpreliminary5127221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- Rivers United FCNiger Tornadoespreliminary731981The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.0
- Sporting LagosKwara Unitedpreliminary6124151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 76% will not happen in roughly 24 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →