Nigeria NPFL, round 14 · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Rivers United FC — Niger Tornadoes
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Rivers United FC are clear favourites: 73% against 8% for the opponent, draw 19%.
2.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 34%, both teams to score — 27%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Rivers United FC are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.
- Rivers United FC are 171 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Rivers United FC — No. 1, 18 pts; Niger Tornadoes — No. 8, 16 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Rivers United FC: winless in 4; Niger Tornadoes: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Rivers United FC 4 wins, Niger Tornadoes 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Rivers United FC — Niger Tornadoes What is xG? | 1.6–0.4 | |
| Rivers United FC not to lose | 92% | |
| Niger Tornadoes not to lose | 27% | |
| No draw | 81% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 27% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 73% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 34% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 66% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Rivers United FC
- Rivers United FC goals
- Niger Tornadoes goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
Form
- 01.11Enugu Rangers1:1
- 25.10away · Bendel Insurance1:2
- 19.10Barau0:0
- 11.10away · Abia Warriors0:0
- 04.10Ikorodu City2:0
- 30.10Barau0:0
- 25.10away · Abia Warriors1:0
- 18.10Ikorodu City2:1
- 10.10away · Ranchers Bees0:0
- 04.10Kun Khalifat1:0
Head to head
- 19.03.2026Niger Tornadoes — Rivers United FC1:0
- 01.10.2025Rivers United FC — Niger Tornadoes1:0
- 08.03.2025Rivers United FC — Niger Tornadoes1:0
- 21.10.2024Niger Tornadoes — Rivers United FC0:1
- 19.05.2024Rivers United FC — Niger Tornadoes3:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rivers United FC | 11 | 4 | +10 | 18 |
| 2 | Enugu Rangers | 9 | 5 | +5 | 18 |
| 7 | Barau | 11 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 8 | Niger Tornadoes | 11 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 9 | Katsina United | 11 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- Abia WarriorsEnyimbapreliminary5527181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.2
- BarauInter Lagospreliminary811451The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- Bendel InsuranceDoma Unitedpreliminary771581The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- Kun KhalifatKatsina Unitedpreliminary5825171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- Nasarawa UnitedWarri Wolves FCpreliminary5927141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:01.9
- Ranchers BeesPlateau Unitedpreliminary5127221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- Enugu RangersShooting Starspreliminary761681The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.6
- Sporting LagosKwara Unitedpreliminary6124151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 73% will not happen in roughly 27 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →