Nigeria NPFL, round 14 · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Ranchers Bees — Plateau United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Ranchers Bees are clear favourites: 51% against 22% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Ranchers Bees — No. 19, 9 pts; Plateau United — No. 6, 16 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
- Ranchers Bees: winless in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ranchers Bees — Plateau United What is xG? | 1.5–0.9 | |
| Ranchers Bees not to lose | 78% | |
| Plateau United not to lose | 49% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 42% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 58% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Ranchers Bees
- Ranchers Bees goals
- Plateau United goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
Form
- 01.11away · Inter Lagos1:1
- 16.10away · Shooting Stars1:3
- 10.10Niger Tornadoes0:0
- 04.10away · Kwara United1:2
- 28.09Rivers United FC0:0
- 01.11Warri Wolves FC1:1
- 24.10away · Katsina United2:2
- 18.10Sporting Lagos2:3
- 11.10Kano Pillars4:0
- 04.10away · Enyimba0:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nasarawa United | 11 | 5 | +1 | 17 |
| 6 | Plateau United | 11 | 4 | +4 | 16 |
| 7 | Barau | 11 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 18 | Abia Warriors | 11 | 2 | -7 | 10 |
| 19 | Ranchers Bees | 10 | 2 | -3 | 9 |
| 20 | Inter Lagos | 11 | 1 | -11 | 6 |
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- Abia WarriorsEnyimbapreliminary5527181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.2
- BarauInter Lagospreliminary811451The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- Bendel InsuranceDoma Unitedpreliminary771581The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- Kun KhalifatKatsina Unitedpreliminary5825171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- Nasarawa UnitedWarri Wolves FCpreliminary5927141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:01.9
- Enugu RangersShooting Starspreliminary761681The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.6
- Rivers United FCNiger Tornadoespreliminary731981The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.0
- Sporting LagosKwara Unitedpreliminary6124151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →