Nigeria NPFL, round 14 · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Kun Khalifat — Katsina United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Kun Khalifat are clear favourites: 58% against 17% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 39%, both teams to score — 41%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Kun Khalifat are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- Kun Khalifat are 70 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Kun Khalifat — No. 16, 12 pts; Katsina United — No. 9, 16 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Last 2 meetings: Kun Khalifat 0 wins, Katsina United 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kun Khalifat — Katsina United What is xG? | 1.6–0.7 | |
| Kun Khalifat not to lose | 83% | |
| Katsina United not to lose | 42% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 41% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 59% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 39% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 61% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Kun Khalifat
- Kun Khalifat goals
- Katsina United goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
Form
- 01.11away · Enyimba0:1
- 25.10Inter Lagos1:0
- 17.10away · Doma United1:1
- 11.10Shooting Stars2:0
- 04.10away · Niger Tornadoes0:1
- 01.11Sporting Lagos2:1
- 24.10Plateau United2:2
- 18.10away · Kano Pillars0:1
- 09.10Enyimba4:2
- 04.10away · Inter Lagos1:1
Head to head
- 15.01.2026Katsina United — Kun Khalifat2:0
- 28.12.2025Kun Khalifat — Katsina United0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Niger Tornadoes | 11 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 9 | Katsina United | 11 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 | Shooting Stars | 11 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 15 | Kwara United | 11 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 16 | Kun Khalifat | 11 | 3 | -7 | 12 |
| 17 | Enyimba | 11 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- Abia WarriorsEnyimbapreliminary5527181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.2
- BarauInter Lagospreliminary811451The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- Bendel InsuranceDoma Unitedpreliminary771581The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- Nasarawa UnitedWarri Wolves FCpreliminary5927141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:01.9
- Ranchers BeesPlateau Unitedpreliminary5127221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- Enugu RangersShooting Starspreliminary761681The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.6
- Rivers United FCNiger Tornadoespreliminary731981The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.0
- Sporting LagosKwara Unitedpreliminary6124151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →