Saudi Pro League, round 14 · Friday, 20 November, 03:00 (UTC+3)

Al-Fayha — Al Fateh FC

Model prediction for 20 November

Al-Fayha34%

Draw31%

Al Fateh FC36%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Al-Fayha 34%, Al Fateh FC 36%, draw 31%.

2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).

Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 61%.

Why

By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Al-Fayha are 142 points higher on Elo.

1 more fact behind the forecast — in Premium

Facts

League table: Al-Fayha — No. 13, 11 pts; Al Fateh FC — No. 16, 6 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
Al Fateh FC: 3 defeats in a row.
Last 5 meetings: Al-Fayha 2 wins, Al Fateh FC 0, 3 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Al-Fayha — Al Fateh FC What is xG?		1.4–1.4
Al-Fayha not to lose		64%
Al Fateh FC not to lose		66%
No draw		69%
Both teams to score: yes		61%
Both teams to score: no		39%
Total over 2.5		54%
Total under 2.5		46%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Al-Fayha
Al-Fayha goals
Al Fateh FC goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

Stat	Al-Fayha	Al Fateh FC
Goals scored per match	1.5	1.0
Goals conceded per match	1.5	2.1
xG per match	0.97	1.09
Opponents’ xG	1.96	2.17
Shots	11.6	11.5
On target	3.8	4.2
Corners	3.6	4.9
Cards	1.2	2.4
Possession, %	47	43

Averages per match: Al-Fayha — the last 10, Al Fateh FC — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Al-Fayha

31.10Al-Faisaly4:1
22.10away · Al Hazem2:2
19.10Al Ahli2:3
15.10away · Al Khaleej0:2
11.10Al Riyadh1:1

Al Fateh FC

31.10away · Al Hilal0:2
22.10Al Shabab1:3
18.10Al Khaleej2:3
15.10away · Al Hazem3:2
09.10Al Ahli0:4

Head to head

25.01.2026Al-Fayha — Al Fateh FC2:0
30.08.2025Al Fateh FC — Al-Fayha1:2
06.04.2025Al-Fayha — Al Fateh FC1:1
02.11.2024Al Fateh FC — Al-Fayha1:1
09.05.2024Al-Fayha — Al Fateh FC2:2

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
12	Al Riyadh	11	3	3	5	11–25	-14	12
13	Al-Fayha	12	2	5	5	16–20	-4	11
14	Al Hazem	12	2	4	6	14–20	-6	10
15	Al-Faisaly	12	2	4	6	13–24	-11	10
16, Relegation	Al Fateh FC	12	1	3	8	10–25	-15	6
17, Relegation	Al-Taawoun	12	0	5	7	6–20	-14	5

Season 2026/27

Full table

Saudi Pro League on the same day

03:00
Al AhliAl-Faisalypreliminary
79147
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
03:00
Al HilalAl Diriyahpreliminary
85114
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.4
03:00
Al KhaleejAl Ittihadpreliminary
222751
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.1
03:00
Al Nassr FCAl Qadsiahpreliminary
432829
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.4
03:00
Al RiyadhAl Hazempreliminary
422929
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
03:00
Al ShababAl-Ettifaqpreliminary
552520
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
03:00
Al-TaawounAbhapreliminary
502921
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
03:00
Neom SCAl Kholoodpreliminary
532720
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →