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Saudi Pro League, round 14 · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)

Al-Taawoun — Abha

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Model prediction for 20 November

Al-Taawoun50%
Draw29%
Abha21%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Al-Taawoun are clear favourites: 50% against 21% for the opponent, draw 29%.

The model expects few goals: 2.5 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.

Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 53%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Al-Taawoun are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
  • Al-Taawoun are 161 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • League table: Al-Taawoun — No. 17, 5 pts; Abha — No. 18, 3 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
  • Al-Taawoun: winless in 5; Abha: winless in 5.
  • Last 2 meetings: Al-Taawoun 1 win, Abha 0, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Al-Taawoun — Abha What is xG?1.6–1.0
Al-Taawoun not to lose79%
Abha not to lose50%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes53%
Both teams to score: no47%
Total over 2.549%
Total under 2.551%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Al-Taawoun
  • Al-Taawoun goals
  • Abha goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatAl-TaawounAbha
Goals scored per match0.40.6
Goals conceded per match1.71.7
xG per match1.040.84
Opponents’ xG1.981.50
Shots12.49.3
On target3.12.9
Corners5.93.7
Cards1.72.2
Possession, %5144

Averages per match: Al-Taawoun — the last 10, Abha — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Al-Taawoun

  • 31.10Al-Ettifaq1:1
  • 24.10away · Al Riyadh1:2
  • 20.10Al Qadsiah0:1
  • 17.10away · Al Diriyah1:1
  • 11.10away · Al Shabab0:3

Abha

  • 30.10Al Ittihad1:1
  • 27.10Al-Faisaly0:1
  • 24.10away · Neom SC0:2
  • 16.10away · Al Qadsiah1:2
  • 13.09away · Al Diriyah0:0

Head to head

  • 15.02.2024Abha — Al-Taawoun1:1
  • 25.08.2023Al-Taawoun — Abha1:0

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
16, RelegationAl Fateh FC1213810–25-156
17, RelegationAl-Taawoun120576–20-145
18, RelegationAbha110387–19-123

Season 2026/27

Full table

Saudi Pro League on the same day

  • Al AhliAl-Faisalypreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
  • Al-FayhaAl Fateh FCpreliminary
    XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.8
  • Al HilalAl Diriyahpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.4
  • Al KhaleejAl Ittihadpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.1
  • Al Nassr FCAl Qadsiahpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.4
  • Al RiyadhAl Hazempreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
  • Al ShababAl-Ettifaqpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
  • Neom SCAl Kholoodpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →