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Saudi Pro League, round 14 · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)

Al Khaleej — Al Ittihad

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Model prediction for 20 November

Al Khaleej22%
Draw27%
Al Ittihad51%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Al Ittihad are clear favourites: 51% against 22% for the opponent, draw 27%.

3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).

Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 63%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Al Ittihad are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
  • Al Ittihad are 115 points higher on Elo.

1 more fact behind the forecast — in Premium

Facts

  • League table: Al Khaleej — No. 9, 15 pts; Al Ittihad — No. 4, 24 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Al Khaleej 0 wins, Al Ittihad 2, 3 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Al Khaleej — Al Ittihad What is xG?1.3–1.8
Al Khaleej not to lose49%
Al Ittihad not to lose78%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes63%
Both teams to score: no37%
Total over 2.559%
Total under 2.541%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Al Khaleej
  • Al Khaleej goals
  • Al Ittihad goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatAl KhaleejAl Ittihad
Goals scored per match1.42.0
Goals conceded per match1.91.0
xG per match1.232.00
Opponents’ xG1.571.32
Shots10.014.9
On target3.15.3
Corners4.55.1
Cards2.02.1
Possession, %4952

Averages per match: Al Khaleej — the last 10, Al Ittihad — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Al Khaleej

  • 29.10Al Hazem4:2
  • 23.10away · Al Ahli1:4
  • 18.10away · Al Fateh FC3:2
  • 15.10Al-Fayha2:0
  • 10.10away · Al-Ettifaq1:1

Al Ittihad

  • 30.10away · Abha1:1
  • 23.10Al Diriyah2:0
  • 20.10away · Al-Ettifaq4:1
  • 10.10away · Al Hilal2:3
  • 11.09away · Al-Faisaly3:1

Head to head

  • 27.02.2026Al Ittihad — Al Khaleej1:0
  • 01.11.2025Al Khaleej — Al Ittihad4:4
  • 26.02.2025Al Khaleej — Al Ittihad1:1
  • 27.09.2024Al Ittihad — Al Khaleej4:1
  • 16.05.2024Al Khaleej — Al Ittihad1:1

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
3Al Nassr FC1191128–11+1728
4Al Ittihad1173121–11+1024
5Neom SC1271418–10+822
8Al Diriyah1243510–13-315
9Al Khaleej1236314–19-515
10Al Shabab1135320–15+514

Season 2026/27

Full table

Saudi Pro League on the same day

  • Al AhliAl-Faisalypreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
  • Al-FayhaAl Fateh FCpreliminary
    XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.8
  • Al HilalAl Diriyahpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.4
  • Al Nassr FCAl Qadsiahpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.4
  • Al RiyadhAl Hazempreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
  • Al ShababAl-Ettifaqpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
  • Al-TaawounAbhapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
  • Neom SCAl Kholoodpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →