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Saudi Pro League, round 14 · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)

Al Shabab — Al-Ettifaq

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Model prediction for 20 November

Al Shabab55%
Draw25%
Al-Ettifaq20%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Al Shabab are clear favourites: 55% against 20% for the opponent, draw 25%.

3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).

Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 64%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Al Shabab are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
  • Al Shabab are 67 points higher on Elo.

1 more fact behind the forecast — in Premium

Facts

  • League table: Al Shabab — No. 10, 14 pts; Al-Ettifaq — No. 7, 19 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
  • Al Shabab: unbeaten in 5.
  • Last 5 meetings: Al Shabab 0 wins, Al-Ettifaq 3, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Al Shabab — Al-Ettifaq What is xG?2.0–1.3
Al Shabab not to lose80%
Al-Ettifaq not to lose45%
No draw75%
Both teams to score: yes64%
Both teams to score: no36%
Total over 2.561%
Total under 2.539%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Al Shabab
  • Al Shabab goals
  • Al-Ettifaq goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatAl ShababAl-Ettifaq
Goals scored per match1.91.3
Goals conceded per match1.21.5
xG per match1.901.07
Opponents’ xG1.401.76
Shots15.212.8
On target5.64.9
Corners5.94.8
Cards2.12.4
Possession, %5253

Averages per match: Al Shabab — the last 10, Al-Ettifaq — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Al Shabab

  • 30.10Al Ahli6:1
  • 22.10away · Al Fateh FC3:1
  • 19.10Al-Faisaly2:2
  • 11.10Al-Taawoun3:0
  • 12.09Al-Fayha0:0

Al-Ettifaq

  • 31.10away · Al-Taawoun1:1
  • 24.10away · Al Kholood3:0
  • 20.10Al Ittihad1:4
  • 17.10away · Neom SC1:0
  • 10.10Al Khaleej1:1

Head to head

  • 07.03.2026Al-Ettifaq — Al Shabab1:1
  • 08.11.2025Al Shabab — Al-Ettifaq1:1
  • 31.01.2025Al-Ettifaq — Al Shabab3:1
  • 24.08.2024Al Shabab — Al-Ettifaq0:1
  • 23.05.2024Al-Ettifaq — Al Shabab1:0

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
6Al Ahli1170428–19+921
7Al-Ettifaq1254318–17+119
8Al Diriyah1243510–13-315
9Al Khaleej1236314–19-515
10Al Shabab1135320–15+514
11Al Kholood1133517–26-912

Season 2026/27

Full table

Saudi Pro League on the same day

  • Al AhliAl-Faisalypreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
  • Al-FayhaAl Fateh FCpreliminary
    XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.8
  • Al HilalAl Diriyahpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.4
  • Al KhaleejAl Ittihadpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.1
  • Al Nassr FCAl Qadsiahpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.4
  • Al RiyadhAl Hazempreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
  • Al-TaawounAbhapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
  • Neom SCAl Kholoodpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →