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Saudi Pro League, round 14 · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)

Al Riyadh — Al Hazem

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Model prediction for 20 November

Al Riyadh42%
Draw29%
Al Hazem29%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Al Riyadh are slightly stronger: 42% against 29%, draw 29%.

3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).

Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 63%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
  • Al Riyadh are 91 points higher on Elo.

1 more fact behind the forecast — in Premium

Facts

  • League table: Al Riyadh — No. 12, 12 pts; Al Hazem — No. 14, 10 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
  • Al Hazem: winless in 5.
  • Last 4 meetings: Al Riyadh 0 wins, Al Hazem 2, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Al Riyadh — Al Hazem What is xG?1.6–1.4
Al Riyadh not to lose71%
Al Hazem not to lose58%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes63%
Both teams to score: no37%
Total over 2.557%
Total under 2.543%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Al Riyadh
  • Al Riyadh goals
  • Al Hazem goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatAl RiyadhAl Hazem
Goals scored per match0.91.2
Goals conceded per match2.11.8
xG per match0.961.23
Opponents’ xG1.772.39
Shots12.810.5
On target3.13.5
Corners4.23.5
Cards2.12.3
Possession, %4344

Averages per match: Al Riyadh — the last 10, Al Hazem — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Al Riyadh

  • 29.10Al Qadsiah0:6
  • 24.10Al-Taawoun2:1
  • 20.10away · Al Diriyah0:1
  • 11.10away · Al-Fayha1:1
  • 13.09Al Kholood2:0

Al Hazem

  • 29.10away · Al Khaleej2:4
  • 22.10Al-Fayha2:2
  • 19.10away · Al Hilal0:1
  • 15.10Al Fateh FC2:3
  • 10.10Neom SC1:1

Head to head

  • 24.04.2026Al Hazem — Al Riyadh2:1
  • 29.12.2025Al Riyadh — Al Hazem1:2
  • 18.05.2024Al Hazem — Al Riyadh1:1
  • 30.11.2023Al Riyadh — Al Hazem0:0

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
11Al Kholood1133517–26-912
12Al Riyadh1133511–25-1412
13Al-Fayha1225516–20-411
14Al Hazem1224614–20-610
15Al-Faisaly1224613–24-1110

Season 2026/27

Full table

Saudi Pro League on the same day

  • Al AhliAl-Faisalypreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
  • Al-FayhaAl Fateh FCpreliminary
    XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.8
  • Al HilalAl Diriyahpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.4
  • Al KhaleejAl Ittihadpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.1
  • Al Nassr FCAl Qadsiahpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.4
  • Al ShababAl-Ettifaqpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
  • Al-TaawounAbhapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
  • Neom SCAl Kholoodpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →