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Saudi Pro League, round 14 · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)

Neom SC — Al Kholood

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Model prediction for 20 November

Neom SC53%
Draw27%
Al Kholood20%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Neom SC are clear favourites: 53% against 20% for the opponent, draw 27%.

2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).

Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 59%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Neom SC are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
  • Neom SC are 221 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • League table: Neom SC — No. 5, 22 pts; Al Kholood — No. 11, 12 pts. A gap of 10 pts.
  • Al Kholood: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 2 meetings: Neom SC 1 win, Al Kholood 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Neom SC — Al Kholood What is xG?1.8–1.1
Neom SC not to lose80%
Al Kholood not to lose47%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes59%
Both teams to score: no41%
Total over 2.556%
Total under 2.544%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Neom SC
  • Neom SC goals
  • Al Kholood goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatNeom SCAl Kholood
Goals scored per match1.41.6
Goals conceded per match0.92.5
xG per match1.291.88
Opponents’ xG1.121.89
Shots13.112.7
On target4.04.3
Corners5.24.5
Cards1.72.2
Possession, %5547

Averages per match: Neom SC — the last 10, Al Kholood — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Neom SC

  • 30.10away · Al Diriyah2:1
  • 24.10Abha2:0
  • 20.10away · Al Nassr FC0:1
  • 17.10Al-Ettifaq0:1
  • 10.10away · Al Hazem1:1

Al Kholood

  • 29.10away · Al Nassr FC3:5
  • 24.10Al-Ettifaq0:3
  • 15.10away · Al-Faisaly2:3
  • 09.10Al Qadsiah0:5
  • 13.09away · Al Riyadh0:2

Head to head

  • 28.02.2026Neom SC — Al Kholood1:2
  • 30.10.2025Al Kholood — Neom SC2:3

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
4Al Ittihad1173121–11+1024
5Neom SC1271418–10+822
6Al Ahli1170428–19+921
10Al Shabab1135320–15+514
11Al Kholood1133517–26-912
12Al Riyadh1133511–25-1412

Season 2026/27

Full table

Saudi Pro League on the same day

  • Al AhliAl-Faisalypreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
  • Al-FayhaAl Fateh FCpreliminary
    XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.8
  • Al HilalAl Diriyahpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.4
  • Al KhaleejAl Ittihadpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.1
  • Al Nassr FCAl Qadsiahpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.4
  • Al RiyadhAl Hazempreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
  • Al ShababAl-Ettifaqpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
  • Al-TaawounAbhapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →