Major League Soccer (MLS), round 34 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Austin FC — Portland Timbers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Portland Timbers are clear favourites: 46% against 26% for the opponent, draw 27%.
3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 65%, both teams to score — 67%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Portland Timbers are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- In recent matches the betting market rated Portland Timbers higher than the model did — the forecast takes it into account.
Facts
- League table: Austin FC — No. 26, 34 pts; Portland Timbers — No. 16, 43 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
- Portland Timbers: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Austin FC 2 wins, Portland Timbers 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Austin FC — Portland Timbers What is xG? | 1.4–1.8 | |
| Austin FC not to lose | 54% | |
| Portland Timbers not to lose | 74% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 33% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 65% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 35% |
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- Austin FC goals
- Portland Timbers goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Austin FC | Portland Timbers |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| xG per match | 1.01 | 1.54 |
| Opponents’ xG | 2.41 | 1.28 |
| Shots | 11.1 | 15.9 |
| On target | 4.2 | 5.3 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 5.4 |
| Cards | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Possession, % | 49 | 51 |
Form
- 01.11away · LA Galaxy1:4
- 29.10Real Salt Lake1:2
- 25.10away · Sporting Kansas City2:1
- 18.10Vancouver Whitecaps1:2
- 15.10away · Los Angeles FC1:3
- 02.11Houston Dynamo FC3:1
- 29.10away · St. Louis City3:2
- 25.10Charlotte FC3:2
- 18.10Colorado Rapids0:0
- 15.10away · LA Galaxy0:2
Head to head
- 30.08.2026Portland Timbers — Austin FC1:2
- 06.04.2025Austin FC — Portland Timbers0:0
- 02.03.2025Portland Timbers — Austin FC1:0
- 03.10.2024Portland Timbers — Austin FC0:1
- 30.05.2024Austin FC — Portland Timbers0:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | LA Galaxy | 33 | 11 | -6 | 44 |
| 16, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | Portland Timbers | 33 | 12 | -1 | 43 |
| 17, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | Colorado Rapids | 33 | 12 | -1 | 43 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 33 | 9 | -5 | 38 |
| 26 | Austin FC | 33 | 8 | -21 | 34 |
| 27 | Atlanta United | 33 | 9 | -14 | 33 |
MLS on the same day
- 4627271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- 3227412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.3
- 3129412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
- 6122171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.8
- 1724592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
- 4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:23.5
- 4126331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.6
- 6919121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →