Major League Soccer (MLS), round 34 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Chicago Fire FC — Columbus Crew
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Chicago Fire FC are slightly stronger: 46% against 27%, draw 27%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 64%, both teams to score — 65%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Chicago Fire FC are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- Chicago Fire FC are 92 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Chicago Fire FC — No. 5, 55 pts; Columbus Crew — No. 14, 44 pts. A gap of 11 pts.
- Columbus Crew: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Chicago Fire FC 1 win, Columbus Crew 3, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Chicago Fire FC — Columbus Crew What is xG? | 1.8–1.3 | |
| Chicago Fire FC not to lose | 73% | |
| Columbus Crew not to lose | 54% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 65% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 35% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 64% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 36% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Chicago Fire FC
- Chicago Fire FC goals
- Columbus Crew goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Chicago Fire FC | Columbus Crew |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.7 | 2.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| xG per match | 1.74 | 1.39 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.26 | 1.03 |
| Shots | 16.1 | 15.5 |
| On target | 5.3 | 6.2 |
| Corners | 5.8 | 5.5 |
| Cards | 2.2 | 1.7 |
| Possession, % | 52 | 48 |
Form
- 01.11away · Colorado Rapids4:2
- 29.10Orlando City2:2
- 25.10away · Atlanta United3:2
- 18.10away · New England Revolution0:1
- 15.10Philadelphia Union1:3
- 31.10DC United3:0
- 29.10away · FC Dallas2:0
- 24.10Toronto FC4:2
- 22.10St. Louis City0:0
- 19.10away · FC Cincinnati2:0
Head to head
- 08.03.2026Columbus Crew — Chicago Fire FC0:0
- 28.09.2025Chicago Fire FC — Columbus Crew2:0
- 23.02.2025Columbus Crew — Chicago Fire FC4:2
- 19.05.2024Chicago Fire FC — Columbus Crew1:3
- 10.03.2024Columbus Crew — Chicago Fire FC2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | New England Revolution | 33 | 18 | +9 | 58 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Chicago Fire FC | 33 | 16 | +11 | 55 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | FC Dallas | 33 | 15 | +9 | 55 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | FC Cincinnati | 33 | 12 | -6 | 46 |
| 14, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | Columbus Crew | 33 | 13 | +6 | 44 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | LA Galaxy | 33 | 11 | -6 | 44 |
MLS on the same day
- 3227412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.3
- 3129412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
- 6122171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.8
- 1724592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
- 4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:23.5
- 4126331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.6
- 6919121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.4
- 2627462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →