Major League Soccer (MLS), round 34 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
CF Montréal — Vancouver Whitecaps
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In short
Vancouver Whitecaps are clear favourites: 59% against 17% for the opponent, draw 24%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 61%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Vancouver Whitecaps are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
- Vancouver Whitecaps are 213 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: CF Montréal — No. 29, 26 pts; Vancouver Whitecaps — No. 2, 61 pts. A gap of 35 pts.
- CF Montréal: winless in 5.
- Last 3 meetings: CF Montréal 0 wins, Vancouver Whitecaps 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: CF Montréal — Vancouver Whitecaps What is xG? | 1.1–2.0 | |
| CF Montréal not to lose | 41% | |
| Vancouver Whitecaps not to lose | 83% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 61% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 39% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap CF Montréal
- CF Montréal goals
- Vancouver Whitecaps goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | CF Montréal | Vancouver Whitecaps |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 0.7 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| xG per match | 0.97 | 1.66 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.72 | 1.72 |
| Shots | 11.6 | 14.9 |
| On target | 3.7 | 5.0 |
| Corners | 5.2 | 5.8 |
| Cards | 2.3 | 1.9 |
| Possession, % | 48 | 52 |
Form
- 31.10away · New York City FC1:1
- 29.10away · Charlotte FC0:4
- 24.10Nashville SC0:2
- 18.10away · Seattle Sounders FC1:1
- 15.10Atlanta United0:3
- 01.11Seattle Sounders FC5:1
- 29.10San Diego FC4:1
- 25.10away · Colorado Rapids0:1
- 18.10away · Austin FC2:1
- 15.10away · St. Louis City0:0
Head to head
- 09.03.2025Vancouver Whitecaps — CF Montréal2:0
- 07.07.2024CF Montréal — Vancouver Whitecaps1:1
- 02.04.2023Vancouver Whitecaps — CF Montréal5:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Nashville SC | 33 | 22 | +44 | 74 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Vancouver Whitecaps | 33 | 18 | +38 | 61 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Inter Miami CF | 33 | 16 | +21 | 59 |
| 28 | DC United | 33 | 7 | -21 | 33 |
| 29 | CF Montréal | 33 | 6 | -30 | 26 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 33 | 6 | -42 | 23 |
MLS on the same day
- 4627271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- 3227412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.3
- 3129412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
- 6122171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.8
- 4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:23.5
- 4126331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.6
- 6919121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.4
- 2627462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →