Major League Soccer (MLS), round 34 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Red Bull New York — Atlanta United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Red Bull New York are clear favourites: 48% against 26% for the opponent, draw 26%.
3.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 68%, both teams to score — 70%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Red Bull New York are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- Red Bull New York are 101 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Red Bull New York — No. 24, 39 pts; Atlanta United — No. 27, 33 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Red Bull New York 1 win, Atlanta United 2, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Red Bull New York — Atlanta United What is xG? | 2.0–1.5 | |
| Red Bull New York not to lose | 74% | |
| Atlanta United not to lose | 52% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 30% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 68% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 32% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Red Bull New York
- Red Bull New York goals
- Atlanta United goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Red Bull New York | Atlanta United |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| xG per match | 2.03 | 1.76 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.77 | 1.47 |
| Shots | 16.3 | 15.3 |
| On target | 5.5 | 4.6 |
| Corners | 5.1 | 4.8 |
| Cards | 1.9 | 2.0 |
| Possession, % | 48 | 51 |
Form
- 02.11away · Nashville SC2:3
- 29.10away · New England Revolution2:3
- 25.10Inter Miami CF2:0
- 18.10Toronto FC0:2
- 15.10away · DC United1:2
- 02.11Toronto FC3:1
- 29.10away · New York City FC1:2
- 25.10Chicago Fire FC2:3
- 18.10Inter Miami CF1:3
- 15.10away · CF Montréal3:0
Head to head
- 16.08.2026Atlanta United — Red Bull New York2:1
- 01.06.2025Red Bull New York — Atlanta United2:0
- 09.03.2025Atlanta United — Red Bull New York0:0
- 06.10.2024Atlanta United — Red Bull New York2:1
- 22.09.2024Red Bull New York — Atlanta United2:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Toronto FC | 33 | 9 | -12 | 39 |
| 24 | Red Bull New York | 33 | 11 | -17 | 39 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 33 | 9 | -5 | 38 |
| 26 | Austin FC | 33 | 8 | -21 | 34 |
| 27 | Atlanta United | 33 | 9 | -14 | 33 |
| 28 | DC United | 33 | 7 | -21 | 33 |
MLS on the same day
- 4627271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- 3227412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.3
- 3129412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
- 6122171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.8
- 1724592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
- 4126331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.6
- 6919121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.4
- 2627462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →