Major League Soccer (MLS), round 34 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Inter Miami CF — Charlotte FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Inter Miami CF are clear favourites: 61% against 17% for the opponent, draw 22%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 72%, both teams to score — 70%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Inter Miami CF are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
- Inter Miami CF are 140 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Inter Miami CF — No. 3, 59 pts; Charlotte FC — No. 7, 53 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Inter Miami CF 2 wins, Charlotte FC 1, 2 draws.
- Days of rest before the match: Inter Miami CF 6, Charlotte FC 8.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Inter Miami CF — Charlotte FC What is xG? | 2.4–1.4 | |
| Inter Miami CF not to lose | 83% | |
| Charlotte FC not to lose | 39% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 30% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 72% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 28% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Inter Miami CF
- Inter Miami CF goals
- Charlotte FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Inter Miami CF | Charlotte FC |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.9 | 2.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| xG per match | 1.49 | 1.74 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.65 | 1.97 |
| Shots | 13.6 | 11.9 |
| On target | 5.6 | 4.6 |
| Corners | 3.0 | 4.7 |
| Cards | 2.5 | 1.7 |
| Possession, % | 57 | 47 |
Form
- 02.11away · New England Revolution2:1
- 29.10FC Cincinnati2:2
- 25.10away · Red Bull New York0:2
- 18.10away · Atlanta United3:1
- 15.10New York City FC2:0
- 31.10Orlando City4:0
- 29.10CF Montréal4:0
- 25.10away · Portland Timbers2:3
- 17.10away · Philadelphia Union2:2
- 15.10away · Columbus Crew1:3
Head to head
- 15.03.2026Charlotte FC — Inter Miami CF0:0
- 14.09.2025Charlotte FC — Inter Miami CF3:0
- 09.03.2025Inter Miami CF — Charlotte FC1:0
- 29.09.2024Inter Miami CF — Charlotte FC1:1
- 04.07.2024Charlotte FC — Inter Miami CF1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Vancouver Whitecaps | 33 | 18 | +38 | 61 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Inter Miami CF | 33 | 16 | +21 | 59 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | New England Revolution | 33 | 18 | +9 | 58 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | FC Dallas | 33 | 15 | +9 | 55 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Charlotte FC | 33 | 15 | +15 | 53 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | San Jose Earthquakes | 33 | 14 | +8 | 52 |
MLS on the same day
- 4627271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- 3227412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.3
- 3129412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
- 1724592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
- 4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:23.5
- 4126331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.6
- 6919121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.4
- 2627462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →