Major League Soccer (MLS), round 34 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Orlando City — New England Revolution
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Orlando City are slightly stronger: 41% against 33%, draw 26%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.6 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 70%, both teams to score — 72%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Orlando City are 57 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Orlando City — No. 19, 43 pts; New England Revolution — No. 4, 58 pts. A gap of 15 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Orlando City 3 wins, New England Revolution 1, 1 draw.
- Days of rest before the match: Orlando City 8, New England Revolution 6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Orlando City — New England Revolution What is xG? | 1.9–1.7 | |
| Orlando City not to lose | 67% | |
| New England Revolution not to lose | 59% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 28% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 70% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 30% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Orlando City
- Orlando City goals
- New England Revolution goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Orlando City | New England Revolution |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| xG per match | 1.36 | 1.44 |
| Opponents’ xG | 2.49 | 1.70 |
| Shots | 12.6 | 11.1 |
| On target | 5.5 | 5.0 |
| Corners | 3.6 | 5.3 |
| Cards | 2.2 | 1.7 |
| Possession, % | 53 | 48 |
Form
- 31.10away · Charlotte FC0:4
- 29.10away · Chicago Fire FC2:2
- 25.10New York City FC2:2
- 18.10DC United4:1
- 15.10away · Toronto FC3:3
- 02.11Inter Miami CF1:2
- 29.10Red Bull New York3:2
- 25.10away · Philadelphia Union2:1
- 18.10Chicago Fire FC1:0
- 15.10away · FC Cincinnati3:2
Head to head
- 20.09.2026New England Revolution — Orlando City4:2
- 30.04.2026New England Revolution — Orlando City3:4
- 20.07.2025New England Revolution — Orlando City1:2
- 11.05.2025Orlando City — New England Revolution3:3
- 15.09.2024Orlando City — New England Revolution3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Inter Miami CF | 33 | 16 | +21 | 59 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | New England Revolution | 33 | 18 | +9 | 58 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Chicago Fire FC | 33 | 16 | +11 | 55 |
| 18 | Seattle Sounders FC | 33 | 11 | -3 | 43 |
| 19, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | Orlando City | 33 | 12 | -16 | 43 |
| 20 | Real Salt Lake | 33 | 12 | 0 | 42 |
MLS on the same day
- 4627271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- 3227412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.3
- 3129412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
- 6122171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.8
- 1724592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
- 4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:23.5
- 6919121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.4
- 2627462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →