Belarusian Premier League · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)
Baranovici — Belshina
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Baranovici are clear favourites: 48% against 27% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Baranovici are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
- Baranovici are 193 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Baranovici — No. 11, 31 pts; Belshina — No. 13, 24 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Baranovici — Belshina What is xG? | 1.6–1.2 | |
| Baranovici not to lose | 73% | |
| Belshina not to lose | 52% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Baranovici
- Baranovici goals
- Belshina goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Baranovici | Belshina |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.9 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots | 10.3 | 7.2 |
| On target | 4.6 | 3.9 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 4.2 |
| Cards | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| Possession, % | 47 | 46 |
Form
- 01.11away · Zhodino0:3
- 28.10Din. Minsk2:3
- 24.10away · BATE1:0
- 19.10Slavia Mozyr2:4
- 10.10away · Naftan1:4
Head to head
- 05.07.2026Belshina — Baranovici1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 27 | 8 | -4 | 31 |
| 11 | Baranovici | 27 | 8 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 27 | 6 | -19 | 27 |
| 13 | Belshina | 27 | 6 | -22 | 24 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Dnepr Mogilev | 27 | 4 | -15 | 23 |
Belarusian Premier League on the same day
- Arsenal DzerzhinskNemanpreliminary1722612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.4
- Din. MinskFC Minskpreliminary7218111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.9
- Dnepr MogilevVitebskpreliminary3928331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
- Dynamo BrestNaftanpreliminary771671The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.3
- FC GomelBATEpreliminary4926251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- IslochZhodinopreliminary6421151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- ML VitebskSlavia Mozyrpreliminary751781The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →