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Belarusian Premier League · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)

Dynamo Brest — Naftan

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Model prediction for 21 November

Dynamo Brest77%
Draw16%
Naftan7%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Dynamo Brest are clear favourites: 77% against 7% for the opponent, draw 16%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.3 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.

Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 47%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Dynamo Brest are about 1.7 goals per match stronger.
  • Dynamo Brest are 410 points higher on Elo.

1 more fact behind the forecast — in Premium

Facts

  • League table: Dynamo Brest — No. 4, 50 pts; Naftan — No. 16, 17 pts. A gap of 33 pts.
  • Dynamo Brest: unbeaten in 5; Naftan: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Dynamo Brest 3 wins, Naftan 0, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Dynamo Brest — Naftan What is xG?2.5–0.7
Dynamo Brest not to lose93%
Naftan not to lose23%
No draw84%
Both teams to score: yes47%
Both teams to score: no53%
Total over 2.557%
Total under 2.543%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Dynamo Brest
  • Dynamo Brest goals
  • Naftan goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatDynamo BrestNaftan
Goals scored per match1.90.8
Goals conceded per match1.22.5
xG per match0.000.00
Opponents’ xG0.000.00
Shots12.49.0
On target4.84.8
Corners4.54.5
Cards1.81.9
Possession, %4644

Averages per match: Dynamo Brest — the last 10, Naftan — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Dynamo Brest

  • 31.10Vitebsk3:1
  • 25.10away · Neman4:1
  • 17.10FC Gomel2:2
  • 09.10away · Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1:0
  • 20.09Dnepr Mogilev4:2

Naftan

  • 31.10away · Baranovici0:3
  • 24.10Isloch0:6
  • 19.10away · Zhodino0:1
  • 10.10Belshina4:1
  • 19.09away · Slavia Mozyr1:0

Head to head

  • 03.07.2026Naftan — Dynamo Brest2:4
  • 10.08.2025Dynamo Brest — Naftan2:0
  • 30.03.2025Naftan — Dynamo Brest2:2
  • 15.09.2024Naftan — Dynamo Brest3:6
  • 26.04.2024Dynamo Brest — Naftan2:2

Full record: 7 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
3, Europa League or Conference LeagueDin. Minsk27184550–23+2758
4Dynamo Brest27155748–27+2150
5Neman27144933–25+846
15, RelegationBATE27491419–34-1521
16, RelegationNaftan27451824–65-4117

Season 2026

Full table

Belarusian Premier League on the same day

  • Arsenal DzerzhinskNemanpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.4
  • BaranoviciBelshinapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
  • Din. MinskFC Minskpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.9
  • Dnepr MogilevVitebskpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
  • FC GomelBATEpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
  • IslochZhodinopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
  • ML VitebskSlavia Mozyrpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 77% will not happen in roughly 23 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →