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Belarusian Premier League · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)

FC Gomel — BATE

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Model prediction for 21 November

FC Gomel49%
Draw26%
BATE25%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

FC Gomel are clear favourites: 49% against 25% for the opponent, draw 26%.

2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 49%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings FC Gomel are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
  • FC Gomel are 235 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • League table: FC Gomel — No. 6, 40 pts; BATE — No. 15, 21 pts. A gap of 19 pts.
  • FC Gomel: winless in 4; BATE: 4 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: FC Gomel 3 wins, BATE 1, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: FC Gomel — BATE What is xG?1.4–1.0
FC Gomel not to lose75%
BATE not to lose51%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes49%
Both teams to score: no51%
Total over 2.544%
Total under 2.556%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap FC Gomel
  • FC Gomel goals
  • BATE goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatFC GomelBATE
Goals scored per match1.70.7
Goals conceded per match1.41.5
xG per match0.000.00
Opponents’ xG0.000.00
Shots13.411.1
On target5.74.2
Corners4.76.5
Cards1.71.1
Possession, %5254

Averages per match: FC Gomel — the last 10, BATE — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

FC Gomel

  • 31.10away · Dnepr Mogilev1:2
  • 24.10Din. Minsk1:2
  • 17.10away · Dynamo Brest2:2
  • 11.10ML Vitebsk1:5
  • 20.09away · Baranovici2:0

BATE

  • 30.10away · Arsenal Dzerzhinsk0:1
  • 24.10Belshina0:1
  • 18.10away · Dnepr Mogilev1:2
  • 14.10Neman0:2
  • 10.10Slavia Mozyr2:1

Head to head

  • 02.07.2026BATE — FC Gomel0:1
  • 22.08.2025FC Gomel — BATE2:3
  • 12.04.2025BATE — FC Gomel0:0
  • 18.08.2024FC Gomel — BATE2:0
  • 06.04.2024BATE — FC Gomel1:3

Full record: 11 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
5Neman27144933–25+846
6FC Gomel27117938–29+940
7Vitebsk27117930–26+440
14, Relegation play-offDnepr Mogilev274111226–41-1523
15, RelegationBATE27491419–34-1521
16, RelegationNaftan27451824–65-4117

Season 2026

Full table

Belarusian Premier League on the same day

  • Arsenal DzerzhinskNemanpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.4
  • BaranoviciBelshinapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
  • Din. MinskFC Minskpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.9
  • Dnepr MogilevVitebskpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
  • Dynamo BrestNaftanpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.3
  • IslochZhodinopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
  • ML VitebskSlavia Mozyrpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →