Belarusian Premier League · Saturday, 21 November, 19:00 (UTC+3)

Isloch — Zhodino

Model prediction for 21 November

Isloch64%

Draw21%

Zhodino15%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Isloch are clear favourites: 64% against 15% for the opponent, draw 21%.

2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 47%.

Why

By the strength ratings Isloch are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Isloch are 277 points higher on Elo.

1 more fact behind the forecast — in Premium

Facts

League table: Isloch — No. 2, 58 pts; Zhodino — No. 8, 36 pts. A gap of 22 pts.
Isloch: 4 wins in a row.
Last 5 meetings: Isloch 1 win, Zhodino 3, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Isloch — Zhodino What is xG?		1.8–0.8
Isloch not to lose		85%
Zhodino not to lose		36%
No draw		79%
Both teams to score: yes		47%
Both teams to score: no		53%
Total over 2.5		49%
Total under 2.5		51%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Isloch
Isloch goals
Zhodino goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

Stat	Isloch	Zhodino
Goals scored per match	2.0	1.2
Goals conceded per match	0.7	1.7
xG per match	0.00	0.00
Opponents’ xG	0.00	0.00
Shots	14.0	9.2
On target	6.3	4.2
Corners	6.8	3.5
Cards	1.8	1.6
Possession, %	47	50

Averages per match: Isloch — the last 10, Zhodino — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Isloch

01.11Slavia Mozyr3:1
28.10ML Vitebsk1:0
24.10away · Naftan6:0
17.10FC Minsk4:2
11.10away · Vitebsk0:0

Zhodino

01.11Belshina3:0
25.10away · Slavia Mozyr2:4
19.10Naftan1:0
15.10away · ML Vitebsk0:2
10.10away · FC Minsk1:0

Head to head

05.07.2026Zhodino — Isloch0:2
23.11.2025Zhodino — Isloch0:0
28.06.2025Isloch — Zhodino1:3
10.11.2024Isloch — Zhodino0:1
23.06.2024Zhodino — Isloch1:0

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
1, Champions League qualifying	ML Vitebsk	27	17	8	2	56–19	+37	59
2, Europa League or Conference League	Isloch	27	17	7	3	51–21	+30	58
3, Europa League or Conference League	Din. Minsk	27	18	4	5	50–23	+27	58
7	Vitebsk	27	11	7	9	30–26	+4	40
8	Zhodino	27	10	6	11	35–35	0	36
9	FC Minsk	27	10	4	13	33–40	-7	34

Season 2026

Full table

Belarusian Premier League on the same day

19:00
Arsenal DzerzhinskNemanpreliminary
172261
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.4
19:00
BaranoviciBelshinapreliminary
482527
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
19:00
Din. MinskFC Minskpreliminary
721811
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.9
19:00
Dnepr MogilevVitebskpreliminary
392833
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
19:00
Dynamo BrestNaftanpreliminary
77167
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.3
19:00
FC GomelBATEpreliminary
492625
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
19:00
ML VitebskSlavia Mozyrpreliminary
75178
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →