Belarusian Premier League · Saturday, 21 November, 19:00 (UTC+3)

Din. Minsk — FC Minsk

Model prediction for 21 November

Din. Minsk72%

Draw18%

FC Minsk11%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Din. Minsk are clear favourites: 72% against 11% for the opponent, draw 18%.

2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 42%.

Why

By the strength ratings Din. Minsk are about 1.3 goals per match stronger.
Din. Minsk are 337 points higher on Elo.

Facts

League table: Din. Minsk — No. 3, 58 pts; FC Minsk — No. 9, 34 pts. A gap of 24 pts.
FC Minsk: 5 defeats in a row.
Last 5 meetings: Din. Minsk 3 wins, FC Minsk 1, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Din. Minsk — FC Minsk What is xG?		2.2–0.7
Din. Minsk not to lose		89%
FC Minsk not to lose		28%
No draw		82%
Both teams to score: yes		42%
Both teams to score: no		58%
Total over 2.5		50%
Total under 2.5		50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Din. Minsk
Din. Minsk goals
FC Minsk goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

Stat	Din. Minsk	FC Minsk
Goals scored per match	2.0	0.9
Goals conceded per match	0.9	1.9
xG per match	0.00	0.00
Opponents’ xG	0.00	0.00
Shots	14.3	9.6
On target	6.3	4.3
Corners	5.7	4.9
Cards	1.8	2.2
Possession, %	53	49

Averages per match: Din. Minsk — the last 10, FC Minsk — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Din. Minsk

01.11Neman0:1
28.10away · Belshina3:2
24.10away · FC Gomel2:1
19.10Arsenal Dzerzhinsk2:0
15.10Slavia Mozyr3:1

FC Minsk

01.11away · ML Vitebsk0:4
23.10Baranovici1:3
17.10away · Isloch2:4
10.10Zhodino0:1
18.09away · Belshina0:2

Head to head

02.07.2026FC Minsk — Din. Minsk0:3
14.09.2025FC Minsk — Din. Minsk2:1
27.04.2025Din. Minsk — FC Minsk4:1
24.09.2024Din. Minsk — FC Minsk2:0
31.03.2024FC Minsk — Din. Minsk0:0

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
2, Europa League or Conference League	Isloch	27	17	7	3	51–21	+30	58
3, Europa League or Conference League	Din. Minsk	27	18	4	5	50–23	+27	58
4	Dynamo Brest	27	15	5	7	48–27	+21	50
8	Zhodino	27	10	6	11	35–35	0	36
9	FC Minsk	27	10	4	13	33–40	-7	34
10	Slavia Mozyr	27	8	7	12	34–38	-4	31

Season 2026

Full table

Belarusian Premier League on the same day

19:00
Arsenal DzerzhinskNemanpreliminary
172261
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.4
19:00
BaranoviciBelshinapreliminary
482527
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
19:00
Dnepr MogilevVitebskpreliminary
392833
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
19:00
Dynamo BrestNaftanpreliminary
77167
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.3
19:00
FC GomelBATEpreliminary
492625
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
19:00
IslochZhodinopreliminary
642115
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
19:00
ML VitebskSlavia Mozyrpreliminary
75178
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 72% will not happen in roughly 28 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →