Belarusian Premier League · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)
Dnepr Mogilev — Vitebsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Dnepr Mogilev 39%, Vitebsk 33%, draw 28%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Vitebsk are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
- Vitebsk are 72 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Dnepr Mogilev — No. 14, 23 pts; Vitebsk — No. 7, 40 pts. A gap of 17 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Dnepr Mogilev 1 win, Vitebsk 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dnepr Mogilev — Vitebsk What is xG? | 1.2–1.1 | |
| Dnepr Mogilev not to lose | 67% | |
| Vitebsk not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 42% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 58% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Dnepr Mogilev
- Dnepr Mogilev goals
- Vitebsk goals
- Corners and cards
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Dnepr Mogilev | Vitebsk |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots | 11.7 | 11.4 |
| On target | 4.8 | 5.3 |
| Corners | 5.2 | 5.4 |
| Cards | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| Possession, % | 47 | 54 |
Form
- 31.10FC Gomel2:1
- 25.10away · Arsenal Dzerzhinsk0:0
- 18.10BATE2:1
- 11.10Din. Minsk2:3
- 20.09away · Dynamo Brest2:4
- 31.10away · Dynamo Brest1:3
- 24.10ML Vitebsk0:2
- 17.10away · Baranovici1:0
- 11.10Isloch0:0
- 20.09Zhodino6:0
Head to head
- 04.07.2026Vitebsk — Dnepr Mogilev1:0
- 08.11.2024Vitebsk — Dnepr Mogilev2:1
- 23.06.2024Dnepr Mogilev — Vitebsk1:2
- 10.09.2022Dnepr Mogilev — Vitebsk2:1
- 02.05.2022Vitebsk — Dnepr Mogilev2:1
Table
Belarusian Premier League on the same day
- Arsenal DzerzhinskNemanpreliminary1722612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.4
- BaranoviciBelshinapreliminary4825271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- Din. MinskFC Minskpreliminary7218111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.9
- Dynamo BrestNaftanpreliminary771671The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.3
- FC GomelBATEpreliminary4926251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- IslochZhodinopreliminary6421151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- ML VitebskSlavia Mozyrpreliminary751781The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →