UEFA Champions League, round 5 · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)
Bodø/Glimt — LASK
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Bodø/Glimt are clear favourites: 66% against 14% for the opponent, draw 20%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.4).
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- Bodø/Glimt's starting XI is worth €42m, LASK's €22m.
- By the strength ratings Bodø/Glimt are about 1.4 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Bodø/Glimt — No. 23, 4 pts; LASK — No. 15, 6 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bodø/Glimt — LASK What is xG? | 2.2–0.9 | |
| Bodø/Glimt not to lose | 86% | |
| LASK not to lose | 34% | |
| No draw | 80% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Bodø/Glimt
- Bodø/Glimt goals
- LASK goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Bodø/Glimt | LASK |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 2.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.7 | 2.0 |
| xG per match | 2.04 | 1.95 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.13 | 1.87 |
| Shots | 15.5 | 17.1 |
| On target | 5.3 | 5.3 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 5.6 |
| Cards | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Possession, % | 56 | 52 |
Form
- 03.11Lille0:0
- 30.10Viking3:2
- 24.10Vålerenga0:1
- 20.10away · Napoli3:4
- 17.10away · Hamarkameratene2:0
- 03.11Slovan Bratislava4:0
- 31.10WSG Tirol2:1
- 25.10Salzburg1:3
- 21.10away · Sporting CP3:2
- 17.10away · Austria Lustenau4:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Inter | 4 | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 15, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | LASK | 4 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 16, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 22, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Atlético Madrid | 4 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 23, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Bodø/Glimt | 4 | 1 | -5 | 4 |
| 24, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Napoli | 3 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
Champions League on the same day
- GalatasarayAston Villapreliminary4526301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- Real MadridPSV Eindhovenpreliminary7118111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.3
- Manchester CityNapolipreliminary7018121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.2
- ArsenalBorussia Dortmundpreliminary6221171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- FeyenoordFC Portopreliminary3826361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- RB LeipzigLenspreliminary5524211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- Slovan BratislavaReal Betispreliminary1521642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.1
- ComoAEK Athenspreliminary7118111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →