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UEFA Champions League, round 5 · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)

Slovan Bratislava — Real Betis

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Model prediction for 24 November

Slovan Bratislava15%
Draw21%
Real Betis64%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Real Betis are clear favourites: 64% against 15% for the opponent, draw 21%.

3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.4).

Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 55%.

Why

  • Real Betis's starting XI is worth €141m, Slovan Bratislava's €12m.
  • By the strength ratings Real Betis are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.

1 more fact behind the forecast — in Premium

Facts

  • League table: Slovan Bratislava — No. 36, 0 pts; Real Betis — No. 7, 9 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
  • Slovan Bratislava: 4 defeats in a row.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Slovan Bratislava — Real Betis What is xG?0.9–2.1
Slovan Bratislava not to lose36%
Real Betis not to lose85%
No draw79%
Both teams to score: yes55%
Both teams to score: no45%
Total over 2.560%
Total under 2.540%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Slovan Bratislava
  • Slovan Bratislava goals
  • Real Betis goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatSlovan BratislavaReal Betis
Goals scored per match0.62.0
Goals conceded per match2.61.4
xG per match0.861.81
Opponents’ xG2.591.33
Shots9.818.3
On target3.26.6
Corners3.35.1
Cards2.41.9
Possession, %4253

Averages per match: Slovan Bratislava — the last 10, Real Betis — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Slovan Bratislava

  • 03.11away · LASK0:4
  • 20.10away · Roma0:4
  • 14.10VfB Stuttgart0:3
  • 09.09away · Paris Saint-Germain1:6
  • 26.08away · NK Celje2:1

Real Betis

  • 31.10Málaga2:1
  • 25.10away · Celta Vigo0:0
  • 21.10Feyenoord1:0
  • 17.10Barcelona2:5
  • 14.10FC Porto3:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
6, Straight to the round of 16Sporting CP43018–4+49
7, Straight to the round of 16Real Betis33007–4+39
8, Straight to the round of 16Bayern München422012–5+78
35FC Porto30032–6-40
36Slovan Bratislava40041–17-160

Season 2026/27

Full table

Champions League on the same day

  • Bodø/GlimtLASKpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
  • GalatasarayAston Villapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
  • Real MadridPSV Eindhovenpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.3
  • Manchester CityNapolipreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.2
  • ArsenalBorussia Dortmundpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
  • FeyenoordFC Portopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
  • RB LeipzigLenspreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
  • ComoAEK Athenspreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →