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UEFA Champions League, round 5 · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)

Feyenoord — FC Porto

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Model prediction for 24 November

Feyenoord38%
Draw26%
FC Porto36%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Feyenoord 38%, FC Porto 36%, draw 26%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.4.

Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 58%.

Why

  • FC Porto's starting XI is worth €271m, Feyenoord's €150m.
  • By the strength ratings Feyenoord are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Feyenoord — No. 30, 3 pts; FC Porto — No. 35, 0 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
  • Feyenoord: winless in 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Feyenoord — FC Porto What is xG?1.4–1.4
Feyenoord not to lose64%
FC Porto not to lose62%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes58%
Both teams to score: no42%
Total over 2.554%
Total under 2.546%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Feyenoord
  • Feyenoord goals
  • FC Porto goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatFeyenoordFC Porto
Goals scored per match2.42.1
Goals conceded per match1.61.0
xG per match1.911.79
Opponents’ xG1.231.11
Shots15.415.0
On target6.55.7
Corners5.25.0
Cards1.61.3
Possession, %5152

Averages per match: Feyenoord — the last 10, FC Porto — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Feyenoord

  • 03.11Inter0:3
  • 31.10Fortuna Sittard1:1
  • 25.10away · PSV Eindhoven1:1
  • 21.10away · Real Betis0:1
  • 17.10away · Telstar4:3

FC Porto

  • 31.10Estoril4:0
  • 24.10away · Gil Vicente1:0
  • 20.10PSV Eindhoven0:1
  • 14.10away · Real Betis2:3
  • 10.10away · Marítimo2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
29Villarreal41038–14-63
30Feyenoord41034–11-73
31Fenerbahçe30213–9-62
34Lille40134–10-61
35FC Porto30032–6-40
36Slovan Bratislava40041–17-160

Season 2026/27

Full table

Champions League on the same day

  • Bodø/GlimtLASKpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
  • GalatasarayAston Villapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
  • Real MadridPSV Eindhovenpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.3
  • Manchester CityNapolipreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.2
  • ArsenalBorussia Dortmundpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
  • RB LeipzigLenspreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
  • Slovan BratislavaReal Betispreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.1
  • ComoAEK Athenspreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →