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Coupe de France, round 6 · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)

Brétigny FCS — Paris 13 Atlético

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Model prediction and result

0:1Came true
Brétigny FCS35%
Draw27%
Paris 13 Atlético38%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:1: the model's most likely outcome, Paris 13 Atlético to win (38%), came true.

Evenly matched: Brétigny FCS 35%, Paris 13 Atlético 38%, draw 27%.

The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Brétigny FCS — Paris 13 Atlético What is xG?1.3–1.4
Brétigny FCS not to lose62%
Paris 13 Atlético not to lose65%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.551%
Total under 2.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Brétigny FCS
  • Brétigny FCS goals
  • Paris 13 Atlético goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Brétigny FCS

  • 17.11away · Liancourt Rantigny0:0
  • 27.10Paris 13 Atlético2:2
  • 27.10Sainte Genevieve3:3

Paris 13 Atlético

  • 15.11away · Avranches0:0
  • 26.10away · Sarcelles AAS3:2
  • 27.10away · Brétigny FCS2:2
  • 19.11away · Linas Montlhery1:2
  • 29.10away · Liancourt Rantigny5:0

Head to head

  • 27.10.2024Brétigny FCS — Paris 13 Atlético2:2

Next match

  • Paris 13 AtléticoRed Star14 November · Coupe de France · preliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.0

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →