Primera Nacional, round 36 · Saturday, 31 October, (UTC+3) · Estadio Juan Alberto García
CA Chaco For Ever — Racing de Córdoba
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:1Came true
In short
Final score 3:1: the model's most likely outcome, CA Chaco For Ever to win (61%), came true.
CA Chaco For Ever are clear favourites: 61% against 14% for the opponent, draw 25%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.4 in total, against a competition average of 1.9.
Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 45%.
Why
- By the strength ratings CA Chaco For Ever are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
- CA Chaco For Ever are 204 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Last 3 meetings: CA Chaco For Ever 1 win, Racing de Córdoba 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: CA Chaco For Ever — Racing de Córdoba What is xG? | 1.7–0.7 | |
| CA Chaco For Ever not to lose | 86% | |
| Racing de Córdoba not to lose | 39% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 46% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 54% |
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Match events
- 15′Lautaro Avila · Racing de Córdoba
- 17′Enzo Gaggi · penalty · CA Chaco For Ever1:0
- 73′Pablo Chavarría · Racing de Córdoba1:1
- 82′Ezequiel Pacheco · CA Chaco For Ever2:1
- 86′Andrés Lioi · CA Chaco For Ever3:1
Substitutions (10)
- 40′Andrés Lioi ↔ Enzo Gaggi · CA Chaco For Ever
- 46′Joaquín Medina ↔ Facundo Taborda · Racing de Córdoba
- 46′Geremias Rivilli ↔ Sergio González · Racing de Córdoba
- 60′Gonzalo Melgarejo ↔ Leandro Fernández · CA Chaco For Ever
- 60′Lucas Pruzzo ↔ Agustín Ojeda · CA Chaco For Ever
- 60′Santiago Valenzuela ↔ Brian Nievas · CA Chaco For Ever
- 66′Agustin Ortiz ↔ Catriel Peña · Racing de Córdoba
- 79′Abel Bustos ↔ Cristian Vega · Racing de Córdoba
- 80′Ezequiel Pacheco ↔ Juan Carrizo · CA Chaco For Ever
- 80′Gaspar Vega ↔ Lautaro Avila · Racing de Córdoba
Lineups
CA Chaco For Ever
- GKGastón Canuto
- DFLucas Mihovilcevich
- DFAgustín Ojeda60′
- DFRicardo Garay
- DFDavid Valdez
- MFBrian Nievas60′
- MFEnzo Gaggi40′
- MFJuan Carrizo80′
- FWMateo Díaz Chaves
- FWLeandro Fernández60′
- FWMatías Romero
Came on (5)
- MFAndrés Lioi50′
- MFSantiago Valenzuela30′
- MFGonzalo Melgarejo30′
- DFLucas Pruzzo30′
- FWEzequiel Pacheco10′
Racing de Córdoba
- GKGonzalo Laborda
- DFJonathan Bay
- DFMarcio Gómez
- DFLautaro Avila80′
- MFCristian Vega79′
- MFAlan Olinick
- MFMatías Machado
- MFCatriel Peña66′
- FWPablo Chavarría
- FWFacundo Taborda46′
- FWSergio González46′
Came on (5)
- MFJoaquín Medina44′
- MFAbel Bustos11′
- MFGaspar Vega10′
- MFAgustin Ortiz24′
- DFGeremias Rivilli44′
Form
- 24.10away · Ferro Carril Oeste3:0
- 18.10Central Norte1:2
- 11.10away · Deportivo Madryn2:1
- 04.10CA Defensores de Belgrano2:2
- 26.09away · Ciudad de Bolívar1:2
- 25.10All Boys1:2
- 18.10away · Ferro Carril Oeste0:1
- 12.10Los Andes1:0
- 04.10away · Central Norte1:1
- 27.09Godoy Cruz2:2
Head to head
- 14.06.2026Racing de Córdoba — CA Chaco For Ever2:0
- 08.08.2023CA Chaco For Ever — Racing de Córdoba2:1
- 03.04.2023Racing de Córdoba — CA Chaco For Ever2:0
Primera Nacional on the same day
- 363331XThe most likely outcome came true: X0:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 1:1.2.0
- 5726171The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.3
- 4430261The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.3
- 2229492The most likely outcome did not happen: 22:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 0:1.2.4
- 6025151The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 3:0.2.5
- 5626181The most likely outcome came true: 15:1Final score 5:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.6
- 2931402The most likely outcome came true: 20:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:1, exactly right.2.3
- 4531231The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.2.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →