Primera Nacional, round 36 · Saturday, 31 October, (UTC+3) · Estadio Feliciano Gambarte
Godoy Cruz — Almirante Brown
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:1Came true
In short
Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Godoy Cruz to win (60%), came true.
Godoy Cruz are clear favourites: 60% against 15% for the opponent, draw 25%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.5 in total, against a competition average of 1.9.
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 46%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Godoy Cruz are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
- Godoy Cruz are 193 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Godoy Cruz: unbeaten in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Godoy Cruz — Almirante Brown What is xG? | 1.7–0.8 | |
| Godoy Cruz not to lose | 85% | |
| Almirante Brown not to lose | 40% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 54% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
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Match events
- 19′Martín Pino · Godoy Cruz1:0
- 38′Diego Viera · missed penalty · Godoy Cruz
- 41′Benjamín Schamine · Godoy Cruz
- 46′Esteban Burgos · Godoy Cruz
- 47′Enzo Cardozo · Almirante Brown
- 74′Gastón Gil Romero · Godoy Cruz
- 91′Tomás Villoldo · Almirante Brown
- 92′Pedro Velurtas · Almirante Brown1:1
- 93′Diego Viera · Godoy Cruz2:1
- 100′Tomás Villoldo · Almirante Brown
Substitutions (10)
- 56′Tobías Zárate ↔ Marcos Abreliano · Almirante Brown
- 56′Ramiro Fernández ↔ Enzo Cardozo · Almirante Brown
- 62′Santiago Martínez ↔ Axel Rodríguez · Godoy Cruz
- 62′Gastón Gil Romero ↔ Benjamín Schamine · Godoy Cruz
- 72′Joaquín Borja ↔ Santiago Gauna · Almirante Brown
- 72′Gastón Moreyra ↔ Mariano Santiago · Almirante Brown
- 79′Santiago Villalba ↔ Javier Martínez · Almirante Brown
- 90′Federico Milo ↔ Rodrigo Fernández · Godoy Cruz
- 98′Fabricio Oviedo ↔ Martín Pino · Godoy Cruz
- 98′Lucas Arce ↔ Vicente Poggi · Godoy Cruz
Lineups
Godoy Cruz
- GKJuan Strumia
- DFEsteban Burgos
- DFFrancisco Gerometta
- DFNahuel Brunet
- DFDiego Viera
- MFBenjamín Schamine62′
- MFVicente Poggi
- MFFelipe Cairus
- FWRodrigo Fernández
- FWMartín Pino
- FWAxel Rodríguez62′
Came on (2)
- MFSantiago Martínez28′
- MFGastón Gil Romero28′
Almirante Brown
- GKBruno Galván
- DFPedro Velurtas
- DFGustavo Cabral
- DFEnzo Cardozo56′
- DFMáximo Levi
- MFLuciano Pascual
- MFMariano Santiago72′
- MFTomás Villoldo
- MFMarcos Abreliano56′
- MFSantiago Gauna72′
- FWJavier Martínez79′
Came on (5)
- FWGastón Moreyra18′
- MFJoaquín Borja18′
- FWSantiago Villalba11′
- MFTobías Zárate34′
- DFRamiro Fernández34′
Form
- 25.10away · Club Atlético Mitre3:0
- 19.10Club Atlético Estudiantes6:3
- 13.10away · All Boys0:0
- 05.10Los Andes2:1
- 27.09away · Racing de Córdoba2:2
- 25.10Deportivo Morón1:0
- 18.10away · Colón2:2
- 11.10CA San Miguel1:1
- 04.10away · San Telmo2:3
- 26.09Acassuso0:1
Head to head
- 14.06.2026Almirante Brown — Godoy Cruz1:0
Next matches
- Godoy CruzTristán Suárez15 November · Primera Nacional · preliminary4531241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.1
- Gimnasia JujuyAlmirante Brown15 November · Primera Nacional · preliminary5227201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
Primera Nacional on the same day
- 363331XThe most likely outcome came true: X0:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 1:1.2.0
- 5726171The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.3
- 4430261The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.3
- 2229492The most likely outcome did not happen: 22:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 0:1.2.4
- 5626181The most likely outcome came true: 15:1Final score 5:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.6
- 2931402The most likely outcome came true: 20:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:1, exactly right.2.3
- 4531231The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.2.0
- 5728141The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →