Primera Nacional, round 36 · Saturday, 31 October, (UTC+3) · Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda
Atlético Güemes — Temperley
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2:2Missed
In short
Final score 2:2: the model's most likely outcome, Temperley to win (49%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 49% fails in about 51 matches out of 100 on average.
Temperley are clear favourites: 49% against 22% for the opponent, draw 29%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.4 in total, against a competition average of 1.9.
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Temperley are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
- Temperley are 193 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Last 3 meetings: Atlético Güemes 1 win, Temperley 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Atlético Güemes — Temperley What is xG? | 0.9–1.5 | |
| Atlético Güemes not to lose | 51% | |
| Temperley not to lose | 78% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
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Match events
- 10′Nicolás Ávalos · Temperley
- 34′Franco Díaz · Temperley0:1
- 45′Gabriel Hauche · Temperley0:2
- 48′Santiago Sala · penalty · Atlético Güemes1:2
- 62′Alejandro Melo · Temperley
- 68′Matías Calzón · Temperley
- 77′Milton Gerez · Atlético Güemes
- 87′Santiago Farrera · Atlético Güemes2:2
Substitutions (9)
- 46′Santiago Farrera ↔ Gianluca Pugliese · Atlético Güemes
- 54′Alejandro Melo ↔ Pedro Souto · Temperley
- 54′Fernando Brandán ↔ Franco Benítez · Temperley
- 61′David Véliz ↔ Jonas Carranza · Atlético Güemes
- 64′Luciano Nieto ↔ Lucas Richarte · Temperley
- 64′Matías Calzón ↔ Nicolás Ávalos · Temperley
- 67′Bautista Gerez ↔ Santiago Sala · Atlético Güemes
- 74′Iago Iriarte ↔ Lucas Angelini · Temperley
- 77′Rodrigo Silisque ↔ Milton Gerez · Atlético Güemes
Lineups
Atlético Güemes
- GKTomas Palleres
- DFFacundo Melillán
- DFAlan Gonzalez
- DFRodrigo Arnay
- MFGianfranco Baier
- MFGianluca Pugliese46′
- MFJulian Juarez
- MFMilton Gerez77′
- FWCiro Leineker
- FWJonas Carranza61′
- FWSantiago Sala67′
Came on (4)
- FWBautista Gerez23′
- MFRodrigo Silisque13′
- MFDavid Véliz29′
- MFSantiago Farrera44′
Temperley
- GKEzequiel Mastrolía
- DFLucas Angelini74′
- DFValentín Aguiñagalde
- DFLorenzo Monti
- MFFranco Díaz
- MFPedro Souto54′
- MFLucas Richarte64′
- MFFranco Benítez54′
- MFNicolás Ávalos64′
- FWGabriel Hauche
- FWFacundo Krüger
Came on (5)
- DFIago Iriarte16′
- MFLuciano Nieto26′
- MFFernando Brandán36′
- FWAlejandro Melo36′
- DFMatías Calzón26′
Form
- 25.10away · Deportivo Maipú1:3
- 18.10Almagro2:1
- 11.10away · Patronato de Parana0:2
- 04.10Colegiales0:1
- 26.09away · Quilmes0:2
- 25.10Chacarita Juniors0:1
- 19.10away · San Martín San Juan1:1
- 11.10Nueva Chicago2:1
- 03.10Gimnasia Jujuy2:1
- 27.09away · Deportivo Maipú0:1
Head to head
- 14.06.2026Temperley — Atlético Güemes4:1
- 30.09.2023Atlético Güemes — Temperley2:0
- 20.05.2023Temperley — Atlético Güemes3:3
Next match
- TemperleyCiudad de Bolívar15 November · Primera Nacional · preliminary6126141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
Primera Nacional on the same day
- 363331XThe most likely outcome came true: X0:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 1:1.2.0
- 5726171The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.3
- 4430261The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.3
- 6025151The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 3:0.2.5
- 5626181The most likely outcome came true: 15:1Final score 5:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.6
- 2931402The most likely outcome came true: 20:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:1, exactly right.2.3
- 4531231The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.2.0
- 5728141The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →