Primera Nacional, round 36 · Saturday, 31 October, (UTC+3) · Estadio La Quema
Acassuso — Ferro Carril Oeste
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0:0Came true
In short
Final score 0:0: the model's most likely outcome, a draw (33%), came true.
Evenly matched: Acassuso 36%, Ferro Carril Oeste 31%, draw 33%.
2.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (1.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 35%, both teams to score — 42%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Ferro Carril Oeste are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Acassuso — Ferro Carril Oeste What is xG? | 1.0–0.9 | |
| Acassuso not to lose | 69% | |
| Ferro Carril Oeste not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 42% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 58% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 35% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 65% |
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Match events
- 27′Santiago Bellatti · Acassuso
- 35′Alex Ruíz · Acassuso
- 73′Agustín Hermoso · Acassuso
- 73′Fernando Monetti · Ferro Carril Oeste
- 97′Nazareno Kihm · Ferro Carril Oeste
Substitutions (10)
- 40′Gonzalo Castellani ↔ Enzo Hoyos · Ferro Carril Oeste
- 46′Ramiro Reynoso ↔ Fabricio Sena · Acassuso
- 46′Joel Ghiraldello ↔ Alex Ruíz · Acassuso
- 56′Franco García ↔ Laureano Marra · Ferro Carril Oeste
- 66′Valentín Serrano ↔ Lázaro Romero · Acassuso
- 74′Pepe Uriel ↔ Emanuel Dening · Ferro Carril Oeste
- 74′Nicolás Reniero ↔ Matías Kabalín · Ferro Carril Oeste
- 74′Francisco Cuzzani ↔ Lautaro Parisi · Ferro Carril Oeste
- 74′Román Etcheverri ↔ Santiago Bellatti · Acassuso
- 80′Nahuel Petillo ↔ Joaquín Postigo · Acassuso
Lineups
Acassuso
- GKMariano Monllor
- DFSantiago Bellatti74′
- DFSantiago Borges
- DFBruno Dordoni
- DFAlex Ruíz46′
- MFKevin Daniel Dubini
- MFAgustín Hermoso
- MFJoaquín Postigo80′
- FWLázaro Romero66′
- FWFabricio Sena46′
- FWTomás Rodríguez
Came on (5)
- DFJoel Ghiraldello44′
- MFNahuel Petillo10′
- MFRamiro Reynoso44′
- DFRomán Etcheverri16′
- DFValentín Serrano24′
Ferro Carril Oeste
- GKFernando Monetti
- DFGustavo Canto
- DFJuan Orellana
- DFEmiliano Ozuna
- DFNazareno Kihm
- MFEnzo Hoyos40′
- MFLaureano Marra56′
- MFMatías Kabalín74′
- MFFelipe Obradovich
- FWLautaro Parisi74′
- FWEmanuel Dening74′
Came on (5)
- MFGonzalo Castellani50′
- FWNicolás Reniero16′
- MFPepe Uriel16′
- FWFranco García34′
- MFFrancisco Cuzzani16′
Form
- 25.10away · Central Norte0:0
- 17.10Deportivo Madryn0:0
- 11.10away · CA Defensores de Belgrano3:0
- 03.10Ciudad de Bolívar0:1
- 26.09away · Almirante Brown1:0
- 24.10CA Chaco For Ever0:3
- 18.10Racing de Córdoba1:0
- 11.10away · Central Norte1:1
- 03.10Deportivo Madryn0:2
- 27.09away · CA Defensores de Belgrano1:0
Head to head
- 14.06.2026Ferro Carril Oeste — Acassuso2:1
Next match
- Ferro Carril OesteGimnasia y Tiro15 November · Primera Nacional · preliminary4531241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
Primera Nacional on the same day
- 5726171The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.3
- 4430261The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.3
- 2229492The most likely outcome did not happen: 22:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 0:1.2.4
- 6025151The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 3:0.2.5
- 5626181The most likely outcome came true: 15:1Final score 5:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.6
- 2931402The most likely outcome came true: 20:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:1, exactly right.2.3
- 4531231The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.2.0
- 5728141The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →