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Coupe de France, round 6 · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)

Calais Beau Marais — Loon Plage

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Model prediction and result

0:7Came true
Calais Beau Marais34%
Draw27%
Loon Plage39%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:7: the model's most likely outcome, Loon Plage to win (39%), came true.

Evenly matched: Calais Beau Marais 34%, Loon Plage 39%, draw 27%.

The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Calais Beau Marais — Loon Plage What is xG?1.3–1.4
Calais Beau Marais not to lose61%
Loon Plage not to lose66%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Calais Beau Marais
  • Calais Beau Marais goals
  • Loon Plage goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Calais Beau Marais

  • 29.11Amiens0:3
  • 16.11Paris 15 AC3:1
  • 27.10away · US Hordain1:0

Loon Plage

  • 15.11Bethune1:1
  • 26.10away · Nogent-sur-Oise US2:1
  • 18.11Caen0:3
  • 29.10away · Raismes FC1:0
  • 08.01Reims0:7

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Montreuil sur MerLoon Plage14 November · Coupe de France · preliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →