Primera Nacional, round 35 · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3) · Estadio Ciudad de Caseros
Club Atlético Estudiantes — Los Andes
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1:1Missed
In short
Final score 1:1: the model's most likely outcome, Club Atlético Estudiantes to win (56%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 56% fails in about 44 matches out of 100 on average.
Club Atlético Estudiantes are clear favourites: 56% against 16% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (1.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 38%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Club Atlético Estudiantes are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
- Club Atlético Estudiantes are 168 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Club Atlético Estudiantes — Los Andes What is xG? | 1.4–0.6 | |
| Club Atlético Estudiantes not to lose | 84% | |
| Los Andes not to lose | 44% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 38% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 62% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 37% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 63% |
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- Handicap Club Atlético Estudiantes
- Club Atlético Estudiantes goals
- Los Andes goals
- Corners and cards
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Match events
- 24′Fernando Duré · Club Atlético Estudiantes
- 44′Facundo Ardiles · Club Atlético Estudiantes1:0
- 56′Facundo Sanchez · Los Andes
- 71′Juan Sánchez · Club Atlético Estudiantes
- 75′Martín Albarracín · Club Atlético Estudiantes
- 76′Mauricio Asenjo · Los Andes1:1
Substitutions (8)
- 46′Santiago Camacho ↔ Fernando Duré · Club Atlético Estudiantes
- 46′Facundo Sanchez ↔ Matías González · Los Andes
- 62′Jorge Correa ↔ Matías Núñez · Club Atlético Estudiantes
- 63′Ezequiel Almirón ↔ Enzo Acosta · Club Atlético Estudiantes
- 68′Benjamin Garay ↔ Nazareno Fernández · Los Andes
- 68′Leandro Alegre ↔ Juan Vázquez · Los Andes
- 80′Balthazar Bernardi ↔ Juan Sánchez · Club Atlético Estudiantes
- 85′Julián Navas ↔ Gabriel Carrasco · Los Andes
Lineups
Club Atlético Estudiantes
- GKJuan Lungarzo
- DFFranco Quinteros
- DFJorge Benítez
- DFMartín Albarracín
- DFFernando Duré46′
- MFFacundo Ardiles
- MFFederico Sena
- MFMatías Núñez62′
- MFJuan Sánchez80′
- FWEnzo Acosta63′
- FWDarío Rostagno
Came on (4)
- FWJorge Correa28′
- DFBalthazar Bernardi10′
- FWEzequiel Almirón27′
- MFSantiago Camacho44′
Los Andes
- GKSebastián López
- DFAlexis González
- DFDaniel Alejandro Franco
- DFNazareno Fernández68′
- DFJulián Rodríguez
- DFGabriel Carrasco85′
- MFMatías González46′
- MFAlex Valdez
- MFJuan Vázquez68′
- MFGabriel Cañete
- FWMauricio Asenjo
Came on (4)
- DFJulián Navas5′
- MFLeandro Alegre22′
- FWBenjamin Garay22′
- FWFacundo Sanchez44′
Form
- 19.10away · Godoy Cruz3:6
- 11.10Deportivo Morón2:0
- 03.10away · Colón0:1
- 26.09CA San Miguel2:1
- 19.09away · San Telmo1:0
- 18.10All Boys1:1
- 12.10away · Racing de Córdoba0:1
- 05.10away · Godoy Cruz1:2
- 27.09Deportivo Morón2:1
- 20.09away · Colón0:3
Head to head
- 06.06.2026Los Andes — Club Atlético Estudiantes0:0
Next matches
- Los AndesClub Atlético Mitre31 October · Primera Nacional5030191The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.0
- All BoysClub Atlético Estudiantes2 November · Primera Nacional4033261The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:1.1.9
Primera Nacional on the same day
- 6721121The most likely outcome came true: 14:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.5
- 6026141The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:1.2.2
- 4232261The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:1.2.0
- 4032281The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.2
- 5326211The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.2.6
- 5129201The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:1.2.2
- 6325121The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 2:1.2.2
- 4831211The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 1:0.1.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →