Primera Nacional, round 36 · Saturday, 31 October, (UTC+3) · Estadio Eduardo Gallardón
Los Andes — Club Atlético Mitre
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 0:0: the model's most likely outcome, Los Andes to win (50%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 50% fails in about 50 matches out of 100 on average.
Los Andes are clear favourites: 50% against 19% for the opponent, draw 30%.
2.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (1.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 39%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Los Andes are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- Los Andes are 92 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Los Andes: winless in 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Los Andes — Club Atlético Mitre What is xG? | 1.3–0.7 | |
| Los Andes not to lose | 81% | |
| Club Atlético Mitre not to lose | 50% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 39% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 61% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 37% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 63% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Los Andes
- Los Andes goals
- Club Atlético Mitre goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Match events
- 74′Gianfranco Lillo · Club Atlético Mitre
- 75′Mauricio Asenjo · missed penalty · Los Andes
- 91′Alan Lopez · Club Atlético Mitre
Substitutions (8)
- 61′Santiago Rosales ↔ Rodrigo González · Club Atlético Mitre
- 61′Felipe Gorla ↔ Yonathan Cabral · Club Atlético Mitre
- 61′Franco Rodriguez ↔ Juan Vázquez · Los Andes
- 64′Alan Lopez ↔ Oscar Garrido · Club Atlético Mitre
- 70′Benjamin Garay ↔ Facundo Sanchez · Los Andes
- 70′Peter Grance ↔ Alexis González · Los Andes
- 71′Mateo Maldonado ↔ Marcos Machado · Club Atlético Mitre
- 90′Mario Galeano ↔ Facundo Villarreal · Los Andes
Lineups
Los Andes
- GKSebastián López
- DFAlexis González70′
- DFJulián Navas
- DFDaniel Alejandro Franco
- DFJulián Rodríguez
- MFAlex Valdez
- MFJuan Vázquez61′
- MFFacundo Villarreal
- MFGabriel Cañete
- FWMauricio Asenjo
- FWFacundo Sanchez70′
Came on (3)
- DFPeter Grance20′
- MFFranco Rodriguez29′
- FWBenjamin Garay20′
Club Atlético Mitre
- GKGastón Unrein
- DFYonathan Cabral61′
- DFLuciano Federico Correa
- DFBrian Mieres
- DFMaximiliano Romero
- DFRamiro Centurion
- MFOscar Garrido64′
- MFJuan Alessandroni
- MFMartín Vázquez
- FWMarcos Machado71′
- FWRodrigo González61′
Came on (4)
- FWSantiago Rosales29′
- MFMateo Maldonado19′
- FWAlan Lopez26′
- FWFelipe Gorla29′
Form
- 25.10away · Club Atlético Estudiantes1:1
- 18.10All Boys1:1
- 12.10away · Racing de Córdoba0:1
- 05.10away · Godoy Cruz1:2
- 27.09Deportivo Morón2:1
- 25.10Godoy Cruz0:3
- 18.10away · Deportivo Morón2:0
- 11.10Colón0:0
- 03.10away · CA San Miguel2:0
- 27.09San Telmo0:2
Head to head
- 14.06.2026Club Atlético Mitre — Los Andes0:3
Primera Nacional on the same day
- 363331XThe most likely outcome came true: X0:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 1:1.2.0
- 5726171The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.3
- 4430261The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.3
- 2229492The most likely outcome did not happen: 22:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 0:1.2.4
- 6025151The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 3:0.2.5
- 5626181The most likely outcome came true: 15:1Final score 5:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.6
- 2931402The most likely outcome came true: 20:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:1, exactly right.2.3
- 4531231The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.2.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →