Primera Nacional, round 35 · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3) · Estadio Alfredo Martín Beranger
Temperley — Chacarita Juniors
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0:1Missed
In short
Final score 0:1: the model's most likely outcome, Temperley to win (63%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 63% fails in about 37 matches out of 100 on average.
Temperley are clear favourites: 63% against 12% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (1.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 38%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Temperley are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
- Temperley are 256 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Last 4 meetings: Temperley 2 wins, Chacarita Juniors 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Temperley — Chacarita Juniors What is xG? | 1.6–0.6 | |
| Temperley not to lose | 88% | |
| Chacarita Juniors not to lose | 37% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 38% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 62% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 40% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 60% |
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Match events
- 45′Alexis Domínguez · Chacarita Juniors
- 55′Gabriel Hauche · Temperley
- 55′Sergio Vittor · Chacarita Juniors
- 68′Franco Díaz · Temperley
- 92′Thiago Emanuel Zarate · Chacarita Juniors0:1
- 93′Marcos Echeverría · Temperley
- 96′Thiago Emanuel Zarate · Chacarita Juniors
- 98′Dylan Durán · Chacarita Juniors
- 98′Gerónimo Tomasetti · Temperley
- 99′<TBD> · Temperley
Substitutions (10)
- 59′Alejandro Melo ↔ Franco Benítez · Temperley
- 65′Brian Calderara ↔ Lucas Alfonzo · Chacarita Juniors
- 70′Cristian Guanca ↔ Maximiliano Meléndez · Chacarita Juniors
- 70′Facundo Krüger ↔ Pedro Souto · Temperley
- 75′Gerónimo Tomasetti ↔ Adrián Arregui · Temperley
- 75′Luciano Nieto ↔ Gabriel Hauche · Temperley
- 76′Nicolás Ávalos ↔ Oswaldo Pacheco · Temperley
- 82′Thiago Emanuel Zarate ↔ Alexis Domínguez · Chacarita Juniors
- 82′Mario Sanabria ↔ Nicolás Chávez · Chacarita Juniors
- 83′Dylan Durán ↔ Álvaro Cuello · Chacarita Juniors
Lineups
Temperley
- GKEzequiel Mastrolía
- DFLucas Angelini
- DFValentín Aguiñagalde
- DFLorenzo Monti
- DFOswaldo Pacheco76′
- MFFranco Díaz
- MFPedro Souto70′
- MFAdrián Arregui75′
- MFFranco Benítez59′
- FWMarcos Echeverría
- FWGabriel Hauche75′
Came on (5)
- FWFacundo Krüger20′
- MFGerónimo Tomasetti15′
- MFLuciano Nieto15′
- FWAlejandro Melo31′
- MFNicolás Ávalos14′
Chacarita Juniors
- GKFederico Losas
- DFSergio Vittor
- DFMilton Leyendeker
- DFNicolás Chávez82′
- DFSantiago Acosta
- DFNicolás Pantaleone
- MFÁlvaro Cuello83′
- MFMaximiliano Meléndez70′
- MFTomás Pérez
- FWAlexis Domínguez82′
- FWLucas Alfonzo65′
Came on (5)
- DFBrian Calderara25′
- FWMario Sanabria8′
- MFCristian Guanca20′
- MFDylan Durán7′
- FWThiago Emanuel Zarate8′
Form
- 19.10away · San Martín San Juan1:1
- 11.10Nueva Chicago2:1
- 03.10Gimnasia Jujuy2:1
- 27.09away · Deportivo Maipú0:1
- 19.09Almagro3:1
- 17.10Deportivo Maipú1:0
- 10.10away · Almagro1:2
- 04.10Patronato de Parana1:0
- 27.09away · Colegiales1:2
- 20.09Quilmes3:0
Head to head
- 07.06.2026Chacarita Juniors — Temperley0:1
- 16.08.2025Chacarita Juniors — Temperley0:0
- 13.04.2025Temperley — Chacarita Juniors0:3
- 28.10.2023Chacarita Juniors — Temperley1:2
Next matches
- Atlético GüemesTemperley31 October · Primera Nacional2229492The most likely outcome did not happen: 22:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 0:1.2.4
- Chacarita JuniorsNueva Chicago2 November · Primera Nacional5131181The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:0.1.9
Primera Nacional on the same day
- 6721121The most likely outcome came true: 14:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.5
- 6026141The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:1.2.2
- 4232261The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:1.2.0
- 4032281The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.2
- 5628161The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.0
- 5326211The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.2.6
- 5129201The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:1.2.2
- 4831211The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 1:0.1.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →