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Coupe de France, round 6 · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)

COBSP St Brieuc — Plaintel

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Model prediction and result

3:1Came true
COBSP St Brieuc38%
Draw27%
Plaintel35%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 3:1: the model's most likely outcome, COBSP St Brieuc to win (38%), came true.

Evenly matched: COBSP St Brieuc 38%, Plaintel 35%, draw 27%.

The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
  • COBSP St Brieuc are 63 points higher on Elo.

Probabilities

Expected goals: COBSP St Brieuc — Plaintel What is xG?1.4–1.3
COBSP St Brieuc not to lose65%
Plaintel not to lose62%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.551%
Total under 2.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap COBSP St Brieuc
  • COBSP St Brieuc goals
  • Plaintel goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

COBSP St Brieuc

  • 17.11St Malo1:2

Plaintel

No past matches in the data yet.

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • COBSP St BrieucRouen14 November · Coupe de France · preliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:32.9

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →