Nigeria NPFL, round 13 · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)
Enyimba — Ikorodu City
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Enyimba are clear favourites: 53% against 21% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Enyimba are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Enyimba — No. 17, 11 pts; Ikorodu City — No. 13, 14 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Last 4 meetings: Enyimba 1 win, Ikorodu City 1, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Enyimba — Ikorodu City What is xG? | 1.6–0.9 | |
| Enyimba not to lose | 79% | |
| Ikorodu City not to lose | 47% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 45% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 55% |
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- Handicap Enyimba
- Enyimba goals
- Ikorodu City goals
- Corners and cards
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Team news
Form
- 01.11Kun Khalifat1:0
- 25.10away · Nasarawa United0:1
- 18.10Warri Wolves FC0:0
- 09.10away · Katsina United2:4
- 04.10Plateau United2:0
- 31.10away · Doma United2:2
- 25.10Shooting Stars2:2
- 18.10away · Niger Tornadoes1:2
- 10.10Kwara United2:0
- 04.10away · Rivers United FC0:2
Head to head
- 15.02.2026Enyimba — Ikorodu City0:1
- 28.09.2025Ikorodu City — Enyimba1:1
- 16.03.2025Ikorodu City — Enyimba2:2
- 27.10.2024Enyimba — Ikorodu City2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Doma United | 10 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 13 | Ikorodu City | 11 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 14 | Warri Wolves FC | 11 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 16 | Kun Khalifat | 11 | 3 | -7 | 12 |
| 17 | Enyimba | 11 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 18 | Abia Warriors | 11 | 2 | -7 | 10 |
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- Inter LagosAbia Warriorspreliminary4033281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.8
- Kano PillarsRanchers Beespreliminary6323141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- Katsina UnitedNasarawa Unitedpreliminary5428181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
- Kwara UnitedRivers United FCpreliminary4431251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:11.9
- Niger TornadoesEnugu Rangerspreliminary4132261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.9
- Plateau UnitedKun Khalifatpreliminary6522131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
- Shooting StarsBendel Insurancepreliminary5625191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- Warri Wolves FCSporting Lagospreliminary5229201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →