Nigeria NPFL, round 13 · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)
Plateau United — Kun Khalifat
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Plateau United are clear favourites: 65% against 13% for the opponent, draw 22%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 40%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Plateau United are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
- Plateau United are 103 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Plateau United — No. 6, 16 pts; Kun Khalifat — No. 16, 12 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Last 2 meetings: Plateau United 0 wins, Kun Khalifat 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Plateau United — Kun Khalifat What is xG? | 1.8–0.7 | |
| Plateau United not to lose | 87% | |
| Kun Khalifat not to lose | 35% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 40% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 60% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 42% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 58% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Plateau United
- Plateau United goals
- Kun Khalifat goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
Form
- 01.11Warri Wolves FC1:1
- 24.10away · Katsina United2:2
- 18.10Sporting Lagos2:3
- 11.10Kano Pillars4:0
- 04.10away · Enyimba0:2
- 01.11away · Enyimba0:1
- 25.10Inter Lagos1:0
- 17.10away · Doma United1:1
- 11.10Shooting Stars2:0
- 04.10away · Niger Tornadoes0:1
Head to head
- 19.04.2026Plateau United — Kun Khalifat1:1
- 30.11.2025Kun Khalifat — Plateau United2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nasarawa United | 11 | 5 | +1 | 17 |
| 6 | Plateau United | 11 | 4 | +4 | 16 |
| 7 | Barau | 11 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 15 | Kwara United | 11 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 16 | Kun Khalifat | 11 | 3 | -7 | 12 |
| 17 | Enyimba | 11 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- EnyimbaIkorodu Citypreliminary5327211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- Inter LagosAbia Warriorspreliminary4033281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.8
- Kano PillarsRanchers Beespreliminary6323141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- Katsina UnitedNasarawa Unitedpreliminary5428181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
- Kwara UnitedRivers United FCpreliminary4431251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:11.9
- Niger TornadoesEnugu Rangerspreliminary4132261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.9
- Shooting StarsBendel Insurancepreliminary5625191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- Warri Wolves FCSporting Lagospreliminary5229201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →