Nigeria NPFL, round 13 · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)
Shooting Stars — Bendel Insurance
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Shooting Stars are clear favourites: 56% against 19% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Shooting Stars are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Shooting Stars — No. 10, 15 pts; Bendel Insurance — No. 3, 18 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Shooting Stars 3 wins, Bendel Insurance 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Shooting Stars — Bendel Insurance What is xG? | 1.6–0.9 | |
| Shooting Stars not to lose | 81% | |
| Bendel Insurance not to lose | 44% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 44% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 56% |
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Team news
Form
- 01.11Abia Warriors4:1
- 25.10away · Ikorodu City2:2
- 16.10Ranchers Bees3:1
- 11.10away · Kun Khalifat0:2
- 07.10Kano Pillars0:0
- 01.11away · Kwara United2:1
- 25.10Rivers United FC2:1
- 11.10away · Sporting Lagos1:2
- 04.10Barau4:1
- 27.09away · Abia Warriors0:3
Head to head
- 25.01.2026Shooting Stars — Bendel Insurance1:0
- 30.08.2025Bendel Insurance — Shooting Stars1:1
- 08.02.2025Shooting Stars — Bendel Insurance1:0
- 02.10.2024Bendel Insurance — Shooting Stars1:0
- 29.02.2024Shooting Stars — Bendel Insurance1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Enugu Rangers | 9 | 5 | +5 | 18 |
| 3 | Bendel Insurance | 10 | 6 | +3 | 18 |
| 4 | Kano Pillars | 11 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 9 | Katsina United | 11 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 | Shooting Stars | 11 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 11 | Sporting Lagos | 10 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- EnyimbaIkorodu Citypreliminary5327211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- Inter LagosAbia Warriorspreliminary4033281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.8
- Kano PillarsRanchers Beespreliminary6323141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- Katsina UnitedNasarawa Unitedpreliminary5428181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
- Kwara UnitedRivers United FCpreliminary4431251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:11.9
- Niger TornadoesEnugu Rangerspreliminary4132261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.9
- Plateau UnitedKun Khalifatpreliminary6522131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
- Warri Wolves FCSporting Lagospreliminary5229201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →