Nigeria NPFL, round 13 · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)
Warri Wolves FC — Sporting Lagos
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Warri Wolves FC are clear favourites: 52% against 20% for the opponent, draw 29%.
2.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 36%, both teams to score — 40%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Warri Wolves FC are 61 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Warri Wolves FC — No. 14, 13 pts; Sporting Lagos — No. 11, 15 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Warri Wolves FC: unbeaten in 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Warri Wolves FC — Sporting Lagos What is xG? | 1.4–0.7 | |
| Warri Wolves FC not to lose | 80% | |
| Sporting Lagos not to lose | 48% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 40% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 60% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 36% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 64% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Warri Wolves FC
- Warri Wolves FC goals
- Sporting Lagos goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
Form
- 01.11away · Plateau United1:1
- 25.10Kano Pillars0:0
- 18.10away · Enyimba0:0
- 11.10Inter Lagos3:1
- 04.10away · Doma United0:1
- 01.11away · Katsina United1:2
- 18.10away · Plateau United3:2
- 11.10Bendel Insurance2:1
- 03.10away · Kano Pillars1:1
- 30.09Ikorodu City0:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Shooting Stars | 11 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 11 | Sporting Lagos | 10 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 12 | Doma United | 10 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 13 | Ikorodu City | 11 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 14 | Warri Wolves FC | 11 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Kwara United | 11 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- EnyimbaIkorodu Citypreliminary5327211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- Inter LagosAbia Warriorspreliminary4033281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.8
- Kano PillarsRanchers Beespreliminary6323141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- Katsina UnitedNasarawa Unitedpreliminary5428181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
- Kwara UnitedRivers United FCpreliminary4431251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:11.9
- Niger TornadoesEnugu Rangerspreliminary4132261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.9
- Plateau UnitedKun Khalifatpreliminary6522131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
- Shooting StarsBendel Insurancepreliminary5625191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →