Nigeria NPFL, round 13 · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)
Inter Lagos — Abia Warriors
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Inter Lagos are slightly stronger: 40% against 28%, draw 33%.
1.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 30%, both teams to score — 38%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Inter Lagos — No. 20, 6 pts; Abia Warriors — No. 18, 10 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Inter Lagos: winless in 5; Abia Warriors: winless in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Inter Lagos — Abia Warriors What is xG? | 1.0–0.8 | |
| Inter Lagos not to lose | 72% | |
| Abia Warriors not to lose | 60% | |
| No draw | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 38% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 62% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 30% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 70% |
91 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Inter Lagos
- Inter Lagos goals
- Abia Warriors goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Team news
Form
- 01.11Ranchers Bees1:1
- 25.10away · Kun Khalifat0:1
- 18.10Nasarawa United0:2
- 11.10away · Warri Wolves FC1:3
- 04.10Katsina United1:1
- 01.11away · Shooting Stars1:4
- 25.10Niger Tornadoes0:1
- 17.10away · Kwara United1:1
- 11.10Rivers United FC0:0
- 04.10away · Enugu Rangers1:3
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Enyimba | 11 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 18 | Abia Warriors | 11 | 2 | -7 | 10 |
| 19 | Ranchers Bees | 10 | 2 | -3 | 9 |
| 20 | Inter Lagos | 11 | 1 | -11 | 6 |
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- EnyimbaIkorodu Citypreliminary5327211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- Kano PillarsRanchers Beespreliminary6323141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- Katsina UnitedNasarawa Unitedpreliminary5428181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
- Kwara UnitedRivers United FCpreliminary4431251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:11.9
- Niger TornadoesEnugu Rangerspreliminary4132261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.9
- Plateau UnitedKun Khalifatpreliminary6522131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
- Shooting StarsBendel Insurancepreliminary5625191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- Warri Wolves FCSporting Lagospreliminary5229201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →