Nigeria NPFL, round 13 · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)
Kano Pillars — Ranchers Bees
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Kano Pillars are clear favourites: 63% against 14% for the opponent, draw 23%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 41%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Kano Pillars are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
- Kano Pillars are 158 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Kano Pillars — No. 4, 18 pts; Ranchers Bees — No. 19, 9 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
- Ranchers Bees: winless in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kano Pillars — Ranchers Bees What is xG? | 1.7–0.7 | |
| Kano Pillars not to lose | 86% | |
| Ranchers Bees not to lose | 37% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 41% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 59% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 42% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 58% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Kano Pillars
- Kano Pillars goals
- Ranchers Bees goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
Form
- 01.11Nasarawa United2:0
- 25.10away · Warri Wolves FC0:0
- 18.10Katsina United1:0
- 11.10away · Plateau United0:4
- 07.10away · Shooting Stars0:0
- 01.11away · Inter Lagos1:1
- 16.10away · Shooting Stars1:3
- 10.10Niger Tornadoes0:0
- 04.10away · Kwara United1:2
- 28.09Rivers United FC0:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bendel Insurance | 10 | 6 | +3 | 18 |
| 4 | Kano Pillars | 11 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 5 | Nasarawa United | 11 | 5 | +1 | 17 |
| 18 | Abia Warriors | 11 | 2 | -7 | 10 |
| 19 | Ranchers Bees | 10 | 2 | -3 | 9 |
| 20 | Inter Lagos | 11 | 1 | -11 | 6 |
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- EnyimbaIkorodu Citypreliminary5327211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- Inter LagosAbia Warriorspreliminary4033281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.8
- Katsina UnitedNasarawa Unitedpreliminary5428181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
- Kwara UnitedRivers United FCpreliminary4431251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:11.9
- Niger TornadoesEnugu Rangerspreliminary4132261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.9
- Plateau UnitedKun Khalifatpreliminary6522131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
- Shooting StarsBendel Insurancepreliminary5625191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- Warri Wolves FCSporting Lagospreliminary5229201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →