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Nigeria NPFL, round 13 · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)

Niger Tornadoes — Enugu Rangers

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Model prediction for 15 November

Niger Tornadoes41%
Draw32%
Enugu Rangers26%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Niger Tornadoes are slightly stronger: 41% against 26%, draw 32%.

1.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 31%, both teams to score — 39%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

  • League table: Niger Tornadoes — No. 8, 16 pts; Enugu Rangers — No. 2, 18 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
  • Niger Tornadoes: unbeaten in 5; Enugu Rangers: unbeaten in 4.
  • Last 5 meetings: Niger Tornadoes 1 win, Enugu Rangers 3, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Niger Tornadoes — Enugu Rangers What is xG?1.1–0.8
Niger Tornadoes not to lose74%
Enugu Rangers not to lose59%
No draw68%
Both teams to score: yes39%
Both teams to score: no61%
Total over 2.531%
Total under 2.569%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Niger Tornadoes
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  • Enugu Rangers goals
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

Form

Niger Tornadoes

  • 30.10Barau0:0
  • 25.10away · Abia Warriors1:0
  • 18.10Ikorodu City2:1
  • 10.10away · Ranchers Bees0:0
  • 04.10Kun Khalifat1:0

Enugu Rangers

  • 01.11away · Rivers United FC1:1
  • 11.10away · Barau2:2
  • 04.10Abia Warriors3:1
  • 30.09away · Warri Wolves FC1:0
  • 27.09away · Ikorodu City0:2

Head to head

  • 12.04.2026Niger Tornadoes — Enugu Rangers0:0
  • 23.11.2025Enugu Rangers — Niger Tornadoes1:0
  • 25.01.2025Enugu Rangers — Niger Tornadoes1:2
  • 29.12.2024Niger Tornadoes — Enugu Rangers0:1
  • 03.03.2024Niger Tornadoes — Enugu Rangers0:2

Full record: 8 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
1Rivers United FC1146115–5+1018
2Enugu Rangers953115–10+518
3Bendel Insurance1060418–15+318
7Barau1137113–10+316
8Niger Tornadoes114439–8+116
9Katsina United1144314–15-116

Season 2026/27

Full table

Nigeria NPFL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →