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Coupe de France, round 6 · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)

ES Coteaux Sud — Neuvillette Jamin

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Model prediction and result

0:2Missed
ES Coteaux Sud44%
Draw26%
Neuvillette Jamin30%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, ES Coteaux Sud to win (44%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 44% fails in about 56 matches out of 100 on average.

ES Coteaux Sud are slightly stronger: 44% against 30%, draw 26%.

The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
  • ES Coteaux Sud are 115 points higher on Elo.

Probabilities

Expected goals: ES Coteaux Sud — Neuvillette Jamin What is xG?1.5–1.2
ES Coteaux Sud not to lose70%
Neuvillette Jamin not to lose56%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap ES Coteaux Sud
  • ES Coteaux Sud goals
  • Neuvillette Jamin goals
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Form

ES Coteaux Sud

No past matches in the data yet.

Neuvillette Jamin

  • 31.10Champigneulles0:9

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Neuvillette JaminValenciennes14 November · Coupe de France · preliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.9

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →